Western Michigan at Northern Illinois College Football Betting Pick 11/26/19


Two teams that prefer to run the football, Coach Tim Lester and the Western Michigan Broncos (-7) will be taking the field against the Northern Illinois Huskies at Brigham Field at Huskie Stadium. Fans can catch the action live on ESPNU and the opening kickoff for this MAC matchup is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. ET.

Western Michigan vs. Northern Illinois Betting Odds 11/26/2019

The spread for this MAC matchup is sitting at 7 points in favor of Western Michigan. The Broncos are currently being given -300 moneyline odds while the Huskies are +220. There could be some worthwhile in-game betting opportunity available here, especially if one school finds paydirt early on.

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The Broncos are 7-4 straight up (SU), including 5-2 SU against conference opponents. The Huskies are 4-7 SU overall and 3-4 SU in conference play. The Broncos are 5-5-1 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 1.6 units so far. They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an O/U record of 4-7.

The Huskies have lost 4.2 units this season. The team is 6-5 ATS and has an O/U record of 7-4.

When these two squads met a year ago, Western Michigan won by a touchdown 28-21.

The Broncos are coming off a 37-34 victory over Ohio on November 12. The Broncos defense allowed the Bobcats to run for 216 yards on 35 rush attempts, including two rush TDs. On the offense, Jon Wassink completed 23 passes for 322 yards and three touchdowns. LeVante Bellamy (only 72 rushing yards on 28 attempts, one TD) and Davon Tucker (55 yards on 12 carries) led the running attack while Keith Mixon Jr. (10 receptions, 84 yards) and Skyy Moore (four catches, 162 yards, one TD) manned the receiving duties in the win.

A week ago, Eastern Michigan knocked off this Northern Illinois crew by a score of 45-17. Marcus Childers completed 12-of-26 passes for 99 yards, one touchdown and three interceptions. Tre Harbison (112 yards on 30 rush attempts) and the signal-caller Childers (92 yards on 13 carries, one TD) led the running game while Mitchell Brinkman (four receptions, 34 yards) and Tyrice Richie (three catches, eight yards) led the pass-catching attack in the loss.

Western Michigan has run the ball on 56 percent of its offensive plays this year, including 58.7 percent across possessions in conference play. Northern Illinois has a rush percentage of 53.2 percent, and has carried the ball 57.1 percent of the time against MAC opponents. The Broncos have run for 217 yards/game (including 226 per game against Mid-American opponents) and have 33 scores on the ground this year. The Huskies are putting up 139 rushing yards per contest (170 in conference) and have 15 total rush TDs.

If the results so far this season can translate to this game, then it seems like the Broncos ought to be the more disruptive team in the trenches. Their offensive line has yielded only 20 sacks while the D-line registered 28 sacks. The Huskies, on the other hand, have given up 39 sacks and their defense has generated only 50 sacks.

The Broncos have logged 250 yards per contest through the air overall (214 per game against conference opposition) and have 20 passing scores so far. The Huskies have put up 230 pass yards per game (205.4 in the MAC) and have 12 total pass TDs.

Western Michigan has allowed opponents to run for an average of 189 yards and pass for 240 yards per game. Northern Illinois has allowed 179.3 yards per game on the ground and 210.7 to opposing teams in the air. The Broncos are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.75 to opponents, while the Huskies have given up a 7.78 ANY/A.

Wassink has amassed 2,595 passing yards this season, and has connected on 192-of-314 attempts with 19 passing touchdowns and seven interceptions. Wassink has a sparkling 7.83 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 8.46 over the last two outings.

As a group, LeVante Bellamy, Skyy Moore and Keith Mixon Jr. have collectively accounted for 572 total yards and seven touchdowns over the last couple of outings.

On the other sideline, Ross Bowers has accounted for 2,140 yards, seven TDs and eight INTs. Bowers’ ANY/A sits at 5.91 for the year and 8.19 over his last two games.

Similar to the Broncos, expect a balanced approach offensively from Northern Illinois this Tuesday. Tre Harbison (853 rushing yards, seven rush TDs, 14 receiving yards on the year), Marcus Childers (255 rush yards, three rush TDs, zero receiving yards) and Daniel Crawford (386 receiving yards, one receiving TD) have combined for 530 yards from scrimmage and six touchdowns over the last two games.

Western Michigan Broncos at Northern Illinois Huskies Free Pick

SU Winner – Western Michigan, ATS Winner – Western Michigan


Betting Notes

The Broncos offense has recorded 11 pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Huskies have accounted for eight such plays.

The Western Michigan defense has allowed seven pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Northern Illinois has given up six such plays.

The Western Michigan offense has created 24 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Northern Illinois has created 13 such runs.

The Broncos defense has allowed 19 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Huskies have given up 18 such runs.

The Western Michigan defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks 30 times this year. Northern Illinois has registered just 12 sacks.

Western Michigan has produced 5.9 yards per carry over its last three contests and 5.3 over its last two.

Northern Illinois has averaged 4.1 yards per carry over its last three games and 5.0 over its last two.

Over its last three matchups, Northern Illinois is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.

The O/U for Western Michigan’s last game going into it was 63.5. The over cashed in the team’s 37-34 win over Ohio.

In its last three contests, Western Michigan is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

The O/U for Northern Illinois’ last game was set at 58. The over cashed in the team’s 45-17 defeat to Eastern Michigan.


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