Betting on today’s Leathernecks and Trojans game? Catch the action at Ford Center in Evansville, IN, as the Trojans hosts this showdown at 8:00 ET on ESPNU. The odds for this Ohio Valley conference game currently have Little Rock as the -4.5 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 134.5 points.


The Pick: Little Rock Trojans -4.5

This game will be played at Ford Center at 8:00 ET on Friday, March 8th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Trojans.
  • Not only will Little Rock pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -4.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 134.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Does Western Illinois Have What it Takes on the Road?

Western Illinois has been a much better team on the road this season compared to at home. The Leathernecks are 10-6 on the road, compared to just 7-5 at home. They have also won four straight games on the road, and their average scoring margin on the road this season is -2.1 points per game.

Overall, Western Illinois is 21-11 this season and 14-5 in Ohio Valley Conference play. They have won four straight games and have gone 9-1 in their last 10 games on the road. In their most recent game, they defeated Tennessee State by a score of 61-59.

Western Illinois has been a solid bet on the road this season, going 11-5 vs. the spread away from home. Their overall ATS mark is .500 at 14-14, but they have been better as the underdog, going 6-7 vs. the spread this year.

Western Illinois’ over/under record this season is 9-18-1 and the average scoring total in their games is 133.2. Today’s over/under line of 134.5 is very close to that average. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 132 points.

Coming off their recent game, the Western Illinois offense tallied 61 points in a matchup against Tennessee State. Their field goal percentage for the game was 37.5%, and they made 3 threes. Leading Western Illinois in scoring vs. Tennessee State was Quinlan Bennett with his 18 points. Jesiah West also added 12 points for the Leathernecks.

This season, the Western Illinois defense has been impressive, holding the 22nd position in the country while permitting an average of 65.2 points per contest. Western Illinois’ three-point defense is currently 13th in the country at 5.0 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 37.6% of their shots vs. Western Illinois.

Will Little Rock Come Through as Home Favorites?

Little Rock has been dominant at home this season, going 13-4 and outscoring opponents by an average of 8.4 points per game. They have won their last seven games at home and are 8-2 in their last 10.

Overall, the Trojans are 20-11 and have won nine straight games. They are 14-3 when favored and have been the favorite in 17 of their 31 games.

Little Rock has been solid against the spread this season, going 18-13. They have been even better at home, going 12-5 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, Little Rock is 7-3 ATS.

This season, the over/under record for Little Rock games is 14-17 and today’s line of 134.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games (151.5). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 140 points and their OU record during this stretch is 1-2.

Little Rock’s offense is coming off a good game, putting up 81 points vs. Tennessee Tech. Overall, they hit 56% of their shots from the field and went 20/23 from the free-throw line. Khalen Robinson led the scoring for the Trojans, contributing 16 points. Additionally, Makhel Mitchell chipped in with 14 points.

On the defensive side, Little Rock is currently hovering around the NCAA’s average for points allowed, conceding an average of 72.8 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 7.1 threes per game vs. Western Illinois. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 32.9%.