Home NFL Free NFL Picks Washington Redskins vs. Dallas Cowboys Week 17 Betting Pick

Washington Redskins vs. Dallas Cowboys Week 17 Betting Pick

In the final week of the 2019 regular season, the Cowboys (-11) are gearing up to host their NFC East nemesis Washington Redskins in Dallas. FOX will televise the action and kickoff is scheduled for 4:25 p.m. ET.

Washington Redskins at Dallas Cowboys Betting Odds 12/29/2019

The spread for this NFC game is placed at 11 points in favor of Dallas. The Redskins are currently getting +340 moneyline odds while the Cowboys are -500. This NFC game could present some in-game betting possibilities. The over/under is set at 44 points.

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Square bettors have been hammering the Cowboys, as the opening line was -8. The total has not changed after it was initially posted at 44.

The Redskins are 3-12 straight up (SU), including 0-5 SU against NFC East opponents. The Cowboys are 7-8 SU overall and 4-1 SU against divisional foes. The Redskins are down 4.3 units so far in 2019 and 6-9 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U record of 7-8.

The Cowboys are down 7.7 units this season. They’re 8-7 ATS and nine of their games have gone over the total.

The Redskins hope to bounce back after a 41-35 defeat to the Giants last week. The Redskins defense allowed the Giants to pass for 352 yards and five touchdowns while rushing for 206 yards. Offensively, the Redskins completed 29-of-38 passes for 302 yards and three touchdowns. Case Keenum went 16-for-22 for 158 yards and one touchdown while Dwayne Haskins Jr. completed 12-of-15 for 133 yards and two touchdowns. Adrian Peterson (just 36 rushing yards on 15 attempts, one TD) led the running attack while Terry McLaurin (seven receptions, 86 yards) and Steven Sims Jr. (six catches, 64 yards, two TDs) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.

Dallas just fell 17-9 to Philadelphia a week ago. Dak Prescott completed 25-of-44 passes for 265 yards. Ezekiel Elliott did it all in the loss. In addition to 47 yards on 13 rush attempts, Elliott also reeled in seven catches for 37 yards.

Each team has a similar run-pass ratio on the season. Washington’s run the ball on 43.2 percent of its offensive possessions while Dallas has a rush percentage of 42.3. The Redskins have produced 100 rush yards/game (including 62 per game against East opponents) and have nine touchdowns on the ground this year. The Cowboys are totaling 129 rush yards per contest (143 in conference) and have 17 total rushing TDs.

If the numbers so far this season are any indication, then it’s looking like the Cowboys ought to hold an edge in terms of RB efficiency. Their backfield has produced 4.7 yards per carry while their defense has allowed a YPC of 4.1 to opponents. The Redskins have rushed for 4.4 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 4.6 to opponents.

The Redskins have tallied 200 yards per game in the air overall (262 per game against conference opposition) and have 17 passing scores so far. The Cowboys have recorded 307 pass yards per outing (287.0 against NFC foes) and have 26 total pass TDs.

Defensively, Washington has let opponents rush for an average of 141 yards and pass for 253 yards per game. Dallas has allowed 104.5 rushing yards per game and 244.9 to opponents in the air. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Redskins have given up an ANY/A of 6.48 to opposing QBs, while the Cowboys are yielding an ANY/A of 6.19.

Dwayne Haskins Jr. has amassed 1,104 pass yards this season, and has completed 100-of-175 attempts with five passing touchdowns and seven interceptions. Haskins Jr. has a 3.42 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 9.87 over the past two outings.

For the home team, Dak Prescott has tallied 4,387 yards, 24 TDs and 11 INTs. Prescott’s ANY/A sits at 7.55 for the year and 7.38 over his last two games.

Washington Redskins at Dallas Cowboys Free NFL Pick

SU Winner – Cowboys, ATS Winner – Cowboys, O/U – Over

Notes

Team Betting Notes

The Redskins offense has created five pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Cowboys have put up 13 such plays.

The Washington defense has allowed seven pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Dallas has given up four such plays.

The Washington offense has created 10 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Dallas has created nine such runs.

The Redskins defense has allowed 13 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Cowboys have given up eight such runs.

The Washington defense has 43 sacks on the year while Dallas has just 37.

As a team, Washington has averaged 4.0 yards per carry over its last three games and 3.8 over its last two.

Dallas has averaged 4.8 yards per carry over its last three outings and 5.2 over its last two.

In its last three matches, Dallas is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

The O/U for Washington’s last game going into it was 44.5. The over cashed in the team’s 41-35 defeat to the Giants.

In its last three games, Washington is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

The O/U for Dallas’ last outing was set at 46. The under cashed in the 17-9 defeat to Philadelphia.

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