Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Free Pick 10/03/19

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The Los Angeles Dodgers are hosting the Washington Nationals in Game 1 of the NLDS. The series gets officially underway at 8:37 p.m. ET and this opening game will be televised on TBS.

Washington Nationals at Los Angeles Dodgers Odds

The Nationals have gone 94-69 SU this year and are 92-71 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 5.5 units for moneyline bettors and 17.1 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Dodgers, on the other hand, are 106-56 SU and 80-82 ATS. The team has gained 17.3 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 5.4 units ATS. Los Angeles has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.

Neither team has been a strong over/under bet this year. Dodgers games have had an over/under record of 75-76-11 in 2019. Washington has an over/under record of 76-77-10.

Patrick Corbin will get the start for the visiting Nationals. The southpaw Corbin is 14-7 with a 3.25 ERA and 238 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with eight strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Los Angeles this year.

The Dodgers are going with righty Walker Buehler (14-4, 3.26 ERA), who has 215 strikeouts and 37 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.04. Buehler is 0-1 with 13 strikeouts and a 2.92 ERA over two starts against Washington this year.

As a unit, Los Angeles’ pitchers have given up 3.8 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.11, a WHIP of 1.07 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.4. The bullpen has a 3.85 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 9.5 K/9.

The Los Angeles offense is putting up 5.5 runs per contest, including 6.1 per game over its last 10 games and 5.4 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .256/.339/.476 over its last five contests and is 5-0 SU during that stretch.

First baseman Cody Bellinger and third baseman Justin Turner have led the charge for the Dodgers’ offense this year. Bellinger is slashing .305/.406/.629 with 47 home runs, 115 RBIs, 121 runs and 15 stolen bases, while Turner is batting .290 with 27 homers, 67 RBIs and 80 runs.

In the visiting dugout, Washington’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.54 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 9.69 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.64, along with a WHIP of 1.19 and a K-per-9 of 9.02.

The Nationals offense has slashed .264/.343/.454 on its way to 5.4 runs scored per game this season, including 6.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 7.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (5-0 SU).

Washington’s offense has been fueled by third baseman Anthony Rendon and right fielder Adam Eaton. Rendon is hitting .318/.411/.595 with 34 home runs, 126 RBIs and 118 runs scored. Eaton is slashing .278/.363/.425 with 15 homers, 49 RBIs, 103 runs and 15 stolen bases.

The Dodgers have lost 6.2 units and are 18-34 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s hit in 24 of those games, compared to 26 that’ve gone under.

Washington Nationals at Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Notes

The over has cashed in four of Los Angeles’ last seven games.

The Nationals have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Dodgers have hit 18 over their last 10.

The Nationals have a total OPS of .797 this season and an OPS of .786 against right-handed pitchers. The Dodgers’ OPS stands at .812 overall and .815 versus righties.

The Washington defense has permitted zero errors over the last five games, compared to four errors for Los Angeles over its last five.

The Nationals have won 11 of their last 12 games SU.

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