Wake Forest at Syracuse College Football Betting Pick 11/30/19


The Wake Forest Demon Deacons (-4.5) are traveling north to take on the Syracuse Orange at the Carrier Dome. This conference game is scheduled to begin at 12:30 p.m. ET and fans can catch the action by tuning in to CHSS.

Wake Forest vs. Syracuse Betting Odds 11/30/2019

Wake Forest is favored by 4.5 points in this ACC game. The Demon Deacons are currently getting -200 moneyline odds while the Orange are +170. The over/under is set at 64.5 points, and if one side can get out in front early, it will likely generate a decent live betting opportunity.

The game’s total has shifted higher after opening at 64. The original line has stayed firm.

The Demon Deacons are 8-3 straight up (SU), including 5-3 SU against conference opponents. The Orange are 4-7 SU overall and 1-6 SU in conference play. The Demon Deacons have recorded 2.8 units so far in 2019 and are 5-5-1 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an O/U record of 4-7.

The Orange have lost 1.9 units this season. They’re 3-7 ATS and have an even O/U record of 5-5.

These two teams met last year with the final outcome being a 41-24 victory for Syracuse.

The Demon Deacons are coming off a resounding 39-27 victory over Duke last week where Jamie Newman completed only 14-of-25 passes for 284 yards and one touchdown. Newman (144 rushing yards on 29 attempts, one TD) also led the ground attack and was complemented by Cade Carney (71 yards on 19 carries, one TD). Kendall Hinton (six receptions, 189 yards, one TD) and Jack Freudenthal (three catches, 27 yards) shared the receiving duties in the win.

Syracuse just dropped a brutal 56-34 game to Louisville. Tommy DeVito completed 14-of-21 passes for 153 yards and two touchdowns. Moe Neal (163 yards on 20 rush attempts, one TD) and Jarveon Howard (33 yards on 10 carries, one TD) mounted the running game as Taj Harris (six receptions, 58 yards) and Trishton Jackson (three catches, 64 yards, one TD) led the receiving corps in the loss.

When looking at offensive play selection, each of these squads sports a similar run-pass ratio on the season. Wake Forest has run the ball on 56.6 percent of its offensive possessions while Syracuse has an overall rush percentage of 55.3. The Demon Deacons have run for 178 yards per game (including 171 per game versus Atlantic Coast opponents) and have 17 scores on the ground this year. The Orange are logging 152 rushing yards per contest (144 in conference) and have 15 total rush TDs.

If 2019 numbers are any indication, then the Demon Deacons ought to have the edge when it comes to quarterback protection, as their offensive line has allowed just 33 sacks while the D-line registered 25 sacks. The Orange, on the other hand, have allowed 37 sacks and their defense has sacked opposing QBs just 43 times.

The Deacs have logged 287 yards/contest in the air overall (256 per game versus conference opposition) and have 26 passing TDs so far. The Orange have recorded 239 pass yards per outing (221.0 against ACC foes) and have 21 total pass scores.

Defensively, Wake Forest has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 161 yards and pass for 246 yards per game. Syracuse has allowed 206.2 yards per game on the ground and 248.1 to opponents in the air. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to the opposition, as the Deacs have given up an ANY/A of 6.56 to opposing QBs, while the Orange are allowing an ANY/A of 6.26.

Newman has put up 2,581 passing yards on the year. He’s connected on 196-of-307 attempts with 23 passing touchdowns and only seven interceptions. Newman has an 8.11 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 5.35 over the past two games.

Look for a balanced attack offensively from Wake Forest in this one. As a group, Kendall Hinton, Jamie Newman and Kenneth Walker III have collectively accounted for 504 total yards and three touchdowns over the last couple of outings.

On the other sideline, Tommy DeVito has tallied 2,228 yards, 17 TDs and five INTs. DeVito’s ANY/A sits at 5.76 for the year and 8.03 over his past two games.

We’re looking for the Orange to maintain tempo by feeding the ball-carriers early and often. Backfield mates Moe Neal (633 rush yards, five rush TDs), Jarveon Howard (171 rush yards, two rush TDs), and Jawhar Jordan (81 rush yards, 87 receiving yards) have been significant factors in the Syracuse offense.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Syracuse Orange Betting Pick

SU Winner – Wake Forest, ATS Winner – Wake Forest, O/U – Under


Betting Trends

Syracuse has lost eight fumbles this season while Wake Forest has lost two.

The Syracuse defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks 29 times this season. Wake Forest has produced 28 sacks.

As a team, Wake Forest has averaged 3.5 yards per rush attempt over its last three outings and 3.9 over its last two.

Syracuse has averaged 5.2 yards per carry over its last three contests and 5.8 over its past two.

In its last three matchups, Syracuse is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.

The Over/Under for Wake Forest’s last game going into it was 50. The over cashed in the team’s 39-27 victory over Duke.

In its last three matches, Wake Forest is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

The O/U for Syracuse’s last outing was set at 64. The over cashed in the 56-34 defeat to Louisville.