Virginia vs. Louisville College Football Betting Pick 10/26/19


The Virginia Cavaliers (-3.5) are set to take on their conference rival Louisville Cardinals at Cardinal Stadium. ACC Network will televise the action and the opening kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET.

Virginia vs. Louisville Betting Odds 10/26/2019

The line for this ACC matchup is placed at 3.5 points in favor of Virginia. The Cavaliers are currently getting -175 moneyline odds while the Cardinals are +155. The over/under has been set at 55 points. Multiple decent live betting opportunities might be unveiled during the game.

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This game’s opening line was 3, while the total has not moved since being set initially at 55.

The Cavaliers are 5-2 straight up (SU), including 3-1 SU against ACC opponents. The Cardinals are 4-3 SU overall and 2-2 SU in conference play. The Cavaliers are 3-3-1 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 1.0 unit so far. The team has recorded an O/U mark of 4-3.

The Cardinals are up 2.2 units this season. The team is 4-3 ATS and has an O/U record of 3-4.

The Cavaliers hope to make it two in a row 48-14 victory over Duke last week. Bryce Perkins completed just 13 passes on 26 attempts for 141 yards and one interception. Perkins (62 yards on 22 rush attempts, three TDs) also spearheaded the ground attack in the win and was complemented by Wayne Taulapapa (77 yards on 14 carries, two TDs). Joe Reed (five receptions, 45 yards) and Hasise Dubois (four catches, 62 yards) shared the receiving duties.

Louisville just lost a one-sided 45-10 game to Clemson. The team’s defense allowed the Tigers to kill the clock by running for 298 yards on 37 rush attempts, including three rush TDs. Travis Etienne torched the defense, recording 192 rushing yards and a score on 14 attempts for Clemson. As a group, the Cards collectively completed eight-of-22 passes for 107 yards and two interceptions. Malik Cunningham went four-for-11 for 63 yards and one interception while Evan Conley was four-of-11 for 44 yards and one interception. Javian Hawkins (129 rushing yards on 26 attempts, one TD) mounted the ground game in the defeat as Dez Fitzpatrick (three receptions, 63 yards) and Chatarius Atwell (three catches, 37 yards) led the pass-catching corps.

Virginia has run the ball on 48.3 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Louisville has a rush percentage of 64.3 percent. The Cavaliers have rushed for 109 yards/game (including 119 per game versus Atlantic Coast opponents) and have 14 scores via handoffs this year. The Cards are putting up 217 rushing yards per contest (185 in conference) and have 13 total rush TDs.

The Wahoos have logged 240 yards per contest through the air overall (218 per game versus conference opposition) and have eight passing TDs so far. The Cards have recorded 240 pass yards per outing (279.0 in the ACC) and have 15 total pass scores.

Defensively, Virginia should have the upper hand in both phases. The team has allowed 96 rush yards and 174 pass yards per game. Louisville has allowed 192.1 yards per game on the ground and 263.1 to opposing teams in the air. The Wahoos are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 4.13 to opponents, while the Cards have given up a 7.39 ANY/A.

Conley has recorded 270 yards, two TDs and one INT for Louisville. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 6.94 for the season and 4.62 over his last two outings. In the other huddle, Perkins is up to 1,318 passing yards this year, and has connected on 124-of-193 attempts with eight passing touchdowns and seven interceptions. Perkins has a 5.00 ANY/A, including 4.07 over the last two outings.

When these two schools met a year ago, Virginia won handily 27-3.

Virginia Cavaliers vs. Louisville Cardinals Betting Pick

SU Winner – Louisville, ATS Winner – Louisville, O/U – Over


Team Betting Notes

The O/U for Virginia’s last game going into it was 44. The over cashed in the team’s 48-14 triumph over Duke.

As a team, Virginia has produced 2.3 yards per carry over its last three outings and 3.2 over its last two.

Louisville has averaged 4.7 yards per carry over its last three games and 4.4 over its last two.

Louisville has lost seven fumbles this season while Virginia has lost five.

Over its last three matchups, Virginia is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

The O/U for Louisville’s last match going into it was 61.5. The under cashed in the 45-10 loss to Clemson.

In its last three matchups, Louisville is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

The Cavaliers offense has recorded three pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Cardinals have accounted for 10 such plays.

The Virginia defense has allowed two pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Louisville has given up seven such plays.

The Virginia offense has created four rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Louisville has created 16 such runs.

The Cavaliers defense has allowed four rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Cardinals have given up 11 such runs.

The Virginia defense has twice as many sacks as Louisville this year (28 to 14).


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