Virginia Tech vs. Miami (FL) College Football Betting Pick 10/5/19


The Virginia Tech Hokies (+14) are heading south to visit the Miami (FL) Hurricanes at Hard Rock Stadium. This pivotal conference matchup kicks off at 3:30 p.m. ET and interested parties can tune in to the action on ESPN.

Virginia Tech at Miami (FL) Betting Odds 10/5/2019

Miami (FL) is favored by 14 points in this ACC matchup. The Hokies are currently getting +500 moneyline odds while the Hurricanes are -735. This ACC tilt could have multiple in-game betting scenarios. The over/under is set at 47.5 points.

Sharp bettors have been hammering both the Hurricanes and the under. The line originally opened at -13 and the game’s over/under was initially set at 49.

The Hokies are 2-2 straight up (SU), including 0-2 SU against ACC opponents. The Hurricanes are 2-2 SU overall and are also 0-1 SU in conference play. The Hokies are 0-4 against the spread (ATS) and are down 3.3 units so far. The team has recorded an O/U mark of 2-2.

The Hurricanes have lost 2.9 units this season. The team is 2-2 ATS and also has an even O/U record of 2-2.

When these two teams faced each other last year, Miami (FL) won easily 38-14.

The Hokies fell to Duke 45-10 in a thumping where the passing game could’ve been better as Ryan Willis completed just seven-of-18 passes for 112 yards, as well as a score and a pick. Deshawn McClease (102 yards on 17 rushes) provided the ground attack while Tayvion Robinson (four receptions, 25 yards) and Hezekiah Grimsley (one catch, nine yards) manned the receiving duties in the defeat.

Miami (FL) just picked up a 17-12 win over Central Michigan back in Week 4. The team’s defensive unit did its part in the victory, holding the Chippewas to just 217 passing yards and 31 rushing yards. Kalil Pimpleton was a bright spot in the defeat for Central Michigan, recording 73 yards and a score on 11 catches. For Miami (FL), Jarren Williams completed 17-of-24 passes for 250 yards and one touchdown. DeeJay Dallas (34 rushing yards on 14 attempts, one TD) handled the running game as Jeff Thomas (three receptions, 29 yards) and Brevin Jordan (three catches, 70 yards) led the receiving attack in the win.

Virginia Tech has run the ball on 59 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Miami (FL) has an overall rush percentage of 53.1 percent. The Hokies have produced 149 rush yards/game (including 119 per game versus Atlantic Coast opponents) and have four touchdowns on the ground this year. The Hurricanes are putting up 144 rushing yards per contest and have eight total rush TDs.

It seems like the Hurricanes may hold an advantage in all aspects of the ground game. Their running backs has produced 4.0 yards per carry while their defense is allowing 2.1 yards per rush attempt to opponents. The Hokies have recorded 3.6 yards per carry while allowing 4.3 YPC to opponents.

The Hokies have logged 215 yards per contest in the air overall (232 per game versus conference opposition) and have eight passing TDs so far. The Hurricanes have put up 277 pass yards per outing and also have eight total pass scores.

On the defensive side of the ball, Virginia Tech seems to have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed 189 rush yards and 163 pass yards per game. Miami (FL) has allowed 59.8 rushing yards per game and 209.8 to opponents in the air. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to the opposition, as the Hokies have given up an ANY/A of 5.47 to opposing QBs, while the Hurricanes are allowing an ANY/A of 5.14.

Williams has put up 773 yards, four TDs and zero INTs for Miami (FL). His adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 6.69 for the season and 10.65 across his past two outings. In the other locker room, Willis has put up 728 passing yards this season, and has connected on 52-of-93 attempts with seven passing touchdowns and four interceptions. Willis has a 6.82 ANY/A for the year, though that number is 3.34 over the past two games.

Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Miami (FL) Hurricanes Betting Prediction

SU Winner – Miami (FL), ATS Winner – Miami (FL), O/U – Over


Team Betting Notes

The Miami (FL) defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks 11 times this season. Virginia Tech has produced 10 sacks.

The Miami (FL) offense has lost two fumbles this season while the Virginia Tech offense has lost six.

Each offense has recorded five pass plays of 30+ yards.

The Virginia Tech defense has allowed two pass plays of 40+ yards, while Miami (FL) has given up three such plays.

The Virginia Tech offense has created five rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Miami (FL) has created seven such run.

The Hokies defense has allowed nine rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Hurricanes have given up one such run.

The Over/Under for Miami (FL)’s last matchup was set at 48. The under cashed in the 17-12 win over Central Michigan.

Over its last three contests, Miami (FL) is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

In its last three matches, Virginia Tech is 0-3 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

The O/U for Virginia Tech’s last game was set at 51.5. The over cashed in the team’s 45-10 defeat to Duke.

As a team, Virginia Tech has averaged 4.0 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.3 over its last two.

Miami (FL) has averaged 4.5 yards per carry over its last three games and 4.3 over its last two.

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