The Davidson Wildcats (15-14, 9-8 A10) and VCU Rams (18-12, 8-9 A10) will clash at Belk Arena to bring the regular season to an end. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 136.5 points with Davidson opening as a 3.5-point favorite. Tip-off is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET on Friday, March 6, 2020, and it can be seen on ESPN2.
VCU Rams at Davidson Wildcats ATS Preview
The Rams lost a close one to the Duquesne Dukes in their last matchup, 80-77, despite being 5.5-point favorites. With 24 points on 9-for-14 shooting, Marcus Santos-Silva was the game’s leading scorer. Duquesne had a free throw rate of 0.298 (above their season average of 0.231). VCU, on the other hand, had a better turnover percentage (18.0 vs. 18.9). The two teams combined to score 157 points, which finished well over the projected point total of 137.5.
The last time the Wildcats took the court, they were topped by the Richmond Spiders, 80-63, and failed to cover as 5.5-point underdogs. Kellan Grady was the top scorer from either team with 21 points on 8-for-15 shooting. Richmond’s 31.0 offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest advantage over Davidson, who had a rate of 15.6. The Spiders’ mark was above their season average of 22.0, while the Wildcats’ was below their season average of 24.7. The two teams combined to put up 143 points, which came in just over the projected point total of 140.5.
This matchup pits one of the nation’s top offenses against one of its elite defenses. Davidson currently ranks 48th in offensive efficiency and VCU ranks 32nd in defensive efficiency.
Of VCU’s 30 games, 16 have finished under the projected point total, while 16 of Davidson’s 29 games have finished under the O/U total. The Rams hold the clear advantage straight up (SU) (18-12 vs. 15-14), but the Wildcats have the better against the spread (ATS) record (12-17 vs. 10-20).
These two schools have already met once this season. In that game, the two teams combined to score 135 points, just under the projected point total of 136.5. The Rams won 73-62, covering as 9-point favorites. VCU had a much better turnover percentage (12.1 vs. 27.1). Davidson, meanwhile, did a fantastic job of making free throws (21-24; 87.5 percent). De’Riante Jenkins was a standout player in the game, putting up 15 points, seven rebounds and five steals.
VCU Rams at Davidson Wildcats ATS Prediction
College Basketball Pick: SU Winner – Davidson, ATS Winner – VCU, O/U – Under
The Rams rank 219th in rebounds per game (33.8) while the Wildcats rank 236th (33.3).
On the road, VCU is 3-9 ATS with 7 overs and 5 unders.
At home, Davidson is 8-3 ATS with 6 unders and 5 overs.
VCU ranks 11th in steals per game (9.1) while Davidson ranks 197th (5.4).
The Rams rank 40th in blocks per game (4.4) while the Wildcats rank 158th (2.7).
VCU ranks 43rd in three pointers allowed per game (18.7) while Davidson ranks 98th (20.4).
Davidson is 1-4 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under in its last five games.
Across its past five outings, VCU is 1-4 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
The Wildcats have been outscored by an average of 1.2 points in their last five games. For the season, Davidson has defeated opponents by an average of 5.1 points.
During their last five games, the Rams have scored an average of 65.4 points per game (5.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 67.4 points per game (2.6 above their season average).