Vanderbilt vs. South Carolina College Football Betting Pick 11/2/19


The Vanderbilt Commodores and South Carolina Gamecocks are ready to go at it on the grass at Williams-Brice Stadium. This conference game starts at 7:30 p.m. ET and SEC Network is scheduled to have the TV rights.

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Vanderbilt at South Carolina Betting Odds 11/2/2019

South Carolina is favored by 15 points in this SEC matchup. The Commodores are currently receiving +510 moneyline odds while the Gamecocks are -750. The over/under is set at 51 points. If one side finds paydirt early, it would likely create a reasonable betting scenario in-game.

This game’s line opened at -14, while the total has not changed after it was initially posted at 51.

The Commodores are 2-5 straight up (SU), including 1-3 SU against conference opponents. The Gamecocks are 3-5 SU overall and 2-4 SU in conference play. The underwhelming Commodores are 1-6 against the spread (ATS) and are down 11.0 units so far. They’ve been a good under bet and have recorded an O/U mark of 2-5.

The Gamecocks have lost 7.5 units this season. They’re 4-4 ATS and have an even O/U record of 4-4.

When these two squads faced each other a year ago, South Carolina won easily 37-14.

The Commodores enter after a 21-14 victory over Missouri on October 19. the Commodores completed 10-of-19 passes for 165 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Mo Hasan went seven-for-11 for 120 yards and one touchdown while Riley Neal completed three-of-eight for 45 yards, one touchdown, and one interception. Ke’Shawn Vaughn (96 rushing yards on 29 attempts, one TD) led the ground attack. Vaughn (four receptions, 80 yards, one TD) and Jared Pinkney (two catches, 14 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.

South Carolina just lost 41-21 to Tennessee. The team’s defense let the Volunteers pass for 351 yards and three touchdowns while rushing for 134 yards. Jauan Jennings was on a different level for Tennessee, recording 174 yards and two touchdowns on seven catches. For South Carolina, Ryan Hilinski completed 28-of-51 passes for 319 yards and one touchdown. Tavien Feaster (80 yards on 19 rush attempts, one TD) mounted the running game while Shi Smith (11 receptions, 156 yards, one TD) and Bryan Edwards (eight catches, 83 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the loss.

Vanderbilt’s run the ball on 45.1 percent of its offensive possessions this year while South Carolina has a rush percentage of 47.7 percent. The Commodores have produced 128 rush yards per game (including 118 per game against Southeastern opponents) and have seven scores on the ground this year. The Gamecocks are logging 182 rush yards per contest (139 in conference) and have 17 total rushing TDs.

It seems like the Gamecocks ought to hold an edge in terms of RB efficiency. Their running backs has produced 5.3 yards per carry while their defense has allowed 3.9 YPC to opponents. The Commodores have rushed for 4.3 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 5.4 to opponents.

The Commodores have logged 208 yards/game through the air overall (176 per game versus conference opposition) and have six passing scores so far. The Gamecocks have put up 223 pass yards per game (227.2 in the SEC) and have nine total pass TDs.

Defensively, Vanderbilt has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 202 yards and pass for 253 yards per game. South Carolina has allowed 144.5 rushing yards per game and 263.1 to opposing teams in the air. The Gamecocks are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 6.32 to opposing QBs, while the Commodores have allowed a whopping 8.71 ANY/A.

Riley Neal has put up 1,043 passing yards this season, and has connected on 95-of-157 attempts with five passing touchdowns and three interceptions. Neal’s got a 5.46 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 2.26 over the last two games.

Look for a balanced attack offensively from Vanderbilt in this one. As a group, Ke’Shawn Vaughn, James Bostic and Mo Hasan have combined to account for 439 total yards and three touchdowns over the last two outings.

Ryan Hilinski has produced 1,347 yards, seven TDs and three INTs for South Carolina. His ANY/A stands at 5.67 for the season and 5.26 over his last two outings.

Tavien Feaster (397 rushing yards, four rush TDs this season), Shi Smith (390 receiving yards, two receiving TDs) and Bryan Edwards (509 receiving yards, four receiving TDs) have combined to account for 595 yards from scrimmage and three touchdowns the last two games.

Vanderbilt Commodores at South Carolina Gamecocks Free Prediction

SU Winner – South Carolina, ATS Winner – South Carolina, O/U – Under


Team Betting Notes

The Over/Under for Vanderbilt’s last game going into it was 56.5. The under cashed in the team’s 21-14 victory over Missouri.

Vanderbilt has produced 4.2 yards per carry over its last three games and 4.9 over its last two.

South Carolina has averaged 4.0 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.0 over its last two.

The South Carolina offense has lost six fumbles this season while Vanderbilt has let two get away.

In its last three contests, Vanderbilt is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.

The Over/Under for South Carolina’s last match was set at 46. The over cashed in the 41-21 loss to Tennessee.

In its last three games, South Carolina is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

The Commodores offense has created six pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Gamecocks have accounted for five such plays.

The Vanderbilt defense has allowed seven pass plays of 40 or more yards, while South Carolina has given up six such plays.

The Vanderbilt offense has created 10 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while South Carolina has created 18 such runs.

The Commodores defense has allowed 13 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Gamecocks have given up 12 such runs.

The South Carolina defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks 17 times this season. Vanderbilt has produced just 11 sacks.

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