Valparaiso Crusaders vs. Evansville Aces Free Pick 01/04/20


MVC foes will battle when the Evansville Aces (9-5, 0-1 MVC) go head-to-head against the Valparaiso Crusaders (7-7, 0-1 MVC) at the Ford Center. Tip-off is set for 7 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 4, 2020.

Valparaiso Crusaders at Evansville Aces Betting Preview

In the Crusaders’ last matchup, they lost a close one to the Loyola Chicago Ramblers, 66-63. Valparaiso’s Nick Robinson recorded 15 points and seven assists in the game. Loyola Chicago had a free throw rate of 0.380 (above their season average of 0.280). Valparaiso, on the other hand, held the Ramblers to an effective field goal percentage of 0.470 (below their season average of 0.570).

The Aces are trying to rebound after their 65-52 loss to the Missouri State Bears in their last contest. With 12 points and 10 rebounds, Evansville’s DeAndre Williams played well. Missouri State had a better free throw rate (0.176 vs. 0.083). Evansville, on the other hand, had a turnover percentage of 11.0 (better than their season average of 16.6).

The physical Evansville offense could be getting to the charity stripe a lot in this showdown. The Aces rank 27th in the nation with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.286, while Valparaiso ranks 196th in FTA rate allowed (0.220).

This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. The Aces won both games played against each other last season. In the most recent matchup, Evansville won 65-63. The Aces’ offensive rebounding percentage was their largest strength over the Crusaders. Evansville had a rate of 27.5, while Valparaiso posted a mark of 18.5.

Valparaiso Crusaders vs. Evansville Aces ATS Prediction

Free Pick: SU Winner – Evansville, ATS Winner – Evansville, O/U – Over


Betting Notes:

The Aces rank 20th in blocks allowed per game (2.3) while the Crusaders rank 64th (3.0).

Evansville allows the 32nd-fewest three pointers per game (18.1) while Valparaiso ranks 37th (18.4).

Valparaiso ranks 35th in steals per game (8.6) while Evansville ranks 192nd (4.7).

The Crusaders rank 15th in assists per game (17.0) while the Aces rank 123rd (13.3).

Valparaiso ranks 171st in rebounds per game (35.0) while Evansville ranks 226th (33.4).

Bettings Trends:

The Aces’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 2.6, up from 0.1 for the season.

During their last five games, the Crusaders have scored an average of 70.4 points per game (5.0 below their season average) and allowed an average of 66.4 points per game (6.5 below their season average).

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