UTEP vs. North Texas College Football Betting Pick 11/2/19


The Utep Miners and North Texas Mean Green will go head-to-head on the turf of Apogee Stadium. This Saturday afternoon game is scheduled to kick off at 3:30 p.m. ET and NFL Network has the TV rights.

UTEP vs. North Texas Betting Odds 11/2/2019

North Texas has been tabbed as the heavy favorite and is currently giving up 23 points to UTEP. If the Miners seize momentum early it’ll create a nice live betting opportunity. The over/under is set at 57.5 points.

This game’s total has not moved after being initially set at 57.5. Having said that, the opening line was -22 so has recently moved down to -23.

The Miners are 1-6 straight up (SU), including 0-4 SU against conference opponents. The Mean Green are 3-5 SU overall and 2-2 SU in conference play. The Miners are down 2.1 units this season and 2-4-1 against the spread (ATS). The team has recorded an O/U mark of 3-4.

The Mean Green have been a disappointment to moneyline bettors in 2019, losing 6.2 units. They’re 2-6 ATS and six of their games have gone over the total.

The Miners lost to Louisiana Tech 42-21 in a blowout where the defense allowed the Bulldogs to pass for 338 yards and three touchdowns while rushing for 152 yards and three scores. Justin Henderson had a good day for the Bulldogs in that one with 65 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 17 attempts, along with 73 yards on six catches. On the offensive side of the ball, Kai Locksley completed just 17 passes on 30 attempts for 227 yards and one touchdown. Treyvon Hughes (60 rushing yards on 13 attempts, one TD) and the signal-caller Locksley (17 yards on 10 carries, one TD) led the ground attack in the loss. Justin Garrett (five receptions, 60 yards) and Tre’Shon Wolf (four catches, 44 yards) shared the receiving duties.

North Texas narrowly fell 39-38 to Charlotte. The team’s defense allowed the 49ers to pass for 336 yards and three touchdowns while rushing for 253 yards and three scores. Benny LeMay was on a different level for Charlotte, recording 155 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 30 attempts. For North Texas, Mason Fine completed 26-of-38 passes for 394 yards and five touchdowns. Tre Siggers (131 rushing yards on 17 attempts) and Loren Easly (22 yards on 10 carries) mounted the ground game in the defeat as Michael Lawrence (six receptions, 82 yards, one TD) and Jaelon Darden (five catches, 104 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching attack.

UTEP has run the ball on 61.5 percent of its offensive plays this year, including 54.9 percent across possessions in conference play. North Texas has an overall rush percentage of 46.9 percent, and has run the ball 50 percent of the time against CUSA opponents. The Miners have rushed for 133 yards per game (including 114 per game against Conference USA opponents) and have 11 scores via handoffs this year. The Mean Green are totaling 163 rush yards per contest (172 in conference) and have seven total rushing TDs.

If 2019 numbers are any indication, then it appears the Mean Green could have the advantage when it comes to applying pressure, as their offensive line has allowed just 14 sacks while the D-line has logged 17 sacks. The Miners O-line has allowed 24 sacks and their defense has sacked opposing QBs just seven times.

The Miners have logged 166 yards per game through the air overall (182 per game versus conference opposition) and have four passing TDs so far. The Mean Green have produced 297 pass yards per game (309.0 against CUSA foes) and have 23 total pass scores.

UTEP has allowed opponents to run for an average of 182 yards and pass for 239 yards per game. North Texas has allowed 189.8 yards per game on the ground and 244.8 to opposing teams in the air. The Mean Green are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of 7.15 to opponents, while the Miners have given up an ugly 8.58 ANY/A.

Locksley is up to 420 passing yards this year, and has completed 32-of-66 attempts with one passing touchdowns and two interceptions. Locksley has a 3.35 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 7.68 over the last two games.

Jacob Cowing, Treyvon Hughes and Justin Garrett have combined to account for 317 yards from scrimmage and four touchdowns over the last couple of outings.

Mason Fine has accounted for 1,904 yards, 19 TDs and four INTs for North Texas. His ANY/A stands at 7.65 for the season and 9.10 over his past two games.

Jaelon Darden, Jyaire Shorter and Loren Easly have combined to account for 529 total yards and five touchdowns over the last couple of games.

When these two programs met a year ago, North Texas knocked UTEP off by a field goal 27-24.

UTEP Miners vs. North Texas Mean Green Free NCAA Betting Tip

SU Winner – North Texas, ATS Winner – UTEP, O/U – Over


Team Betting Trends

The O/U for UTEP’s last game going into it was 51. The over cashed in the team’s 42-21 loss to Louisiana Tech.

UTEP has averaged 3.0 yards per carry across its past three contests and 2.9 over its last two.

North Texas has averaged 4.1 yards per carry over its last three games and 4.3 over its past two.

The North Texas offense has lost three fumbles this season while UTEP has lost four.

Over its last three matchups, UTEP is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

The Over/Under for North Texas’ last outing was 65. The over cashed in the 39-38 loss to Charlotte.

In its last three contests, North Texas is 0-3 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.

The Miners offense has created three pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Mean Green have put up 10 such plays.

Both teams have allowed six pass plays of 40 or more yards. The UTEP defense has given up 10 pass plays of 30+ yards while North Texas has yielded 17 such plays.

The UTEP offense has created nine rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while North Texas has created 15 such runs.

The Miners defense has allowed nine rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Mean Green have given up 18 such runs.

The North Texas defense has sacked opposing QBs 17 times this season. UTEP has produced just seven sacks.

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