UTEP at FIU College Football Betting Pick 10/19/19

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Two schools that like to keep the ball on the ground, Head Coach Butch Davis and the FIU Panthers (-22) are ready to take the field against the UTEP Miners at Riccardo Silva Stadium. Kickoff for this conference matchup is set for 7:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch it live by tuning in to ESPN+.

UTEP vs. FIU Betting Odds 10/19/2019

FIU has been tabbed as the heavy favorite and is currently giving up 22 points to UTEP. The over/under has been set at 54 points. If one side gets out in front in the early stages, it will probably result in a worthy in-game betting scenario.

Odds have shifted slightly from where they were initially set. The opening line was -21 and the game’s over/under was placed originally at 54.5.

The Miners are 1-4 straight up (SU), including 0-2 SU against conference opponents. The Panthers are 3-3 SU overall and 1-2 SU in conference play. The Miners are down 1.1 units so far in 2019 and 1-3-1 against the spread (ATS). The team has recorded an O/U mark of 2-3.

The Panthers have lost 3.5 units this season. The team is 2-4 ATS and has an even O/U record of 3-3.

These two CUSA adversaries did not get a chance to face one another in 2018.

FIU enters this one on a four-game losing streak while UTEP has won its last two in a row. The Miners are most-recently on the rebound after a 26-16 loss to UTSA on October 5 where the Miners completed 16-of-31 passes for 181 yards and one touchdown. Brandon Jones went 14-for-22 for 140 yards and one touchdown while Kai Locksley completed two-of-eight for 41 yards. Kai Locksley (just 17 yards on 13 rush attempts) and Treyvon Hughes (62 yards on 10 carries, one TD) led the ground attack while Tre’Shon Wolf (nine receptions, 91 yards, one TD) and Justin Garrett (three catches, 44 yards) manned the receiving duties in the defeat.

FIU takes the field on Saturday following a 48-23 win over Charlotte. The defense allowed the 49ers to rush for 217 yards on 41 attempts, including two rush TDs. Benny LeMay was on a different level for Charlotte, recording 144 rushing yards and a score on 21 attempts, along with 90 yards on four catches. For FIU, James Morgan completed 13-of-16 passes for 160 yards and two touchdowns. Anthony Jones (117 rushing yards on 16 attempts, three TDs) and Napoleon Maxwell (114 yards on 15 carries, one TD) handled the running game while Austin Maloney (four receptions, 73 yards) and Tony Gaiter IV (two catches, 35 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the win.

Each of these teams sports a nearly identical (62-38) run-pass ratio on the season. The Miners have produced 141 rush yards/game (including 113 per game against Conference USA opponents) and have eight scores on the ground this year. The Panthers are putting up 213 rushing yards per contest (211 in conference) and have 14 total rush TDs.

The Miners have tallied 157 yards/contest through the air overall (175 per game against conference opposition) and have two passing TDs so far. The Panthers have recorded 207 pass yards per outing (206.7 in the CUSA) and have seven total pass scores.

Defensively, UTEP has allowed opponents to run for an average of 187 yards and pass for 238 yards per game. FIU has allowed 187.3 rushing yards per game and 190 to opposing teams in the air. The Panthers are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.43 to opposing QBs, while the Miners have allowed an 8.34 ANY/A.

Jones has put up 535 pass yards this season, and has connected on 36-of-65 attempts with two passing touchdowns and two interceptions. Jones has a 6.23 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 5.34 over the last two games.

We expect the UTEP offense to mix it up in this one. As a group, Kai Locksley, Tre’Shon Wolf and Treyvon Hughes have combined for 298 yards from scrimmage and three touchdowns over the last couple of outings.

In the home locker room, James Morgan has put up 812 yards, five TDs and two INTs. Morgan’s ANY/A stands at 7.29 for the year and 9.92 over his last two games.

We’re thinking the Panthers will dictate game flow by feeding the ball-carriers early and often. Tony Gaiter IV (206 receiving yards this season) has contributed lately, but Anthony Jones (295 rush yards, five rush TDs, two receiving TDs) and Napoleon Maxwell (280 rush yards, three rush TDs) have really been focal points in the FIU offense.

UTEP Miners vs. FIU Panthers Betting Prediction

SU Winner – FIU, ATS Winner – UTEP, O/U – Under

Notes

Team Betting Notes

The Miners offense has tallied two pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Panthers have put up three such plays.

Both teams have allowed five pass plays of 40+ yards. The UTEP defense has given up eight pass plays of 30+ yards while FIU has permitted six such plays.

The UTEP offense has created seven rushing plays of 20+ yards, while FIU has created nine such runs.

The Miners defense has allowed seven rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Panthers have given up eight such runs.

The FIU D has tallied six sacks on the year while UTEP has five.

As a team, UTEP has averaged 3.8 yards per carry over its last three games and 4.1 over its last two.

FIU has averaged 5.7 yards per carry over its last three outings and 5.8 over its last two.

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