At 8:00 ET, the Jazz (+745) will take on the Thunder (-1250) at the Paycom Center in Oklahoma City. The Thunder are favored by 14.5, and the over/under line is set at 230.5.

Utah comes into this game having lost two straight and sitting 12th in the Western Conference. The Thunder are 1st in the West and have won two straight.


The Pick: Utah Jazz +14.5

This game will be played at Paycom Center at 8:00 ET on Wednesday, March 20th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 117-108 in favor of the Thunder.
  • Our projections have Shai Gilgeous-Alexander finishing with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander points, 6 rebounds and 6 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Thunder finishing with a field goal percentage of 50.0% and knocking down 14 threes.

Will the Jazz Defense Show Up on the Road?

As the underdog, the Jazz have lost two straight games against the spread. Their ATS record as the underdog is 24-26 on the season and 16-34 straight-up. Today, they are 14.5-point underdogs.

Utah’s O/U record for the season is 37-29-2, and their last two games have gone under the betting line. Today’s O/U line is set at 230.5, and their games have averaged 237.8 points per game.

In their last game, the Jazz lost to the Timberwolves by a score of 114-104. The O/U line for that game was 225.5, and Utah was a 4.5-point underdog going into the game.

Currently, the Jazz are 12th in the Western Conference with a record of 29-39. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 14-25 and 5-9 against their division. On the road, Utah is 9-24.

On the season, the Jazz are averaging 117.2 points per game, which is 10th in the NBA. However, when playing on the road, they are scoring 112.6 points per game (18th).

Utah has outscored the NBA scoring average in 61.8% of their games this season. In terms of pace, they are 10th in the league at 99.8 possessions per game.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Jazz are 11th in made threes per game (13.2) and 10th in three-point attempts per game (36.8). Overall, they are shooting 36% from beyond the arc.

On average, the Utah defense is giving up 120.6 points per game (27th). Right now, they are on a 3 game streak of giving up fewer points than their season average. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Jazz are forcing 14.9 per game, which is 30th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 8th in blocked shots at 5.8 per game.

Is a Home Win Possible for the Thunder?

In Thunder games this season, the average combined scoring total is 233.8 points per game, which is higher than today’s O/U line of 230.5. This season, the Thunder have a record of 36-30-1 on the O/U.

Oklahoma City’s last two games have gone over the O/U line, and they are 2-0 on the over in their last two games. In their most recent game, the Thunder beat the Grizzlies by a score of 118-112, which was well above the O/U line of 219.5.

Against the spread, the Thunder have an overall record of 40-27 and have failed to cover in their last two games at home. As the favorite, their ATS record is 29-22, and they have been favored in 51 of their 67 games.

The Thunder are currently 1st in the Western Conference with a record of 47-20. In their last 10 games, they are 8-2 and have won their last two games. In their most recent game, they beat the Grizzlies by a score of 118-112.

When playing at home, the Thunder are scoring 122.8 points per game, which is 4th in the NBA. Overall, they are 3rd in the league at 120.7 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 2nd in the NBA at 50%. They are also the most efficient shooting team from three-point range, hitting 39% of their attempts.

Oklahoma City’s offensive style has them ranked 12th in pace at 99.6 possessions per game. They are 12th in assists at 26.9 per game. When it comes to free throws, the Thunder are 17th in attempts and 12th in makes.

Despite being 29th in offensive rebounds, the Thunder are 6th in two-point shooting percentage at 56%. Overall, they have made the 4th most two-point field goals in the league. From beyond the arc, they are 9th in made threes at 13.5 per game.

Coming into today’s game, the Thunder’s defense is giving up an average of 113.1 points per contest. The Oklahoma City defense has allowed opponents to shoot 36.8% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 45.5% of their field goal attempts vs. Oklahoma City.