UT Arlington Mavericks at Texas State Bobcats Free Pick 01/25/20


SBC foes will clash when the Texas State Bobcats (12-8, 5-4 SBC) take on the UT Arlington Mavericks (8-12, 4-5 SBC) at Strahan Coliseum. Action begins at 5 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 25, 2020.

UT Arlington Mavericks vs. Texas State Bobcats ATS Preview

In the Mavericks’ last outing, they dismantled the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks, 78-58. Radshad Davis was the top scorer from either team with 19 points on 6-for-10 shooting. UT Arlington dominated nearly every facet of the game. They had a ridiculous offensive rebounding percentage of 52.9 (above their season average of 26.4) and a free throw rate of 0.482 (above their season average of 0.207). For those same stats, Louisiana-Monroe had marks of 16.7 and 0.236, respectively.

The Bobcats hope to maintain momentum after beating the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns in their last contest, 68-59. Texas State’s Isiah Small played a key role with 12 points and nine rebounds. The Bobcats forced 16 turnovers and held the Ragin’ Cajuns to an effective field goal percentage of 0.411 (below their season average of 0.472).

The physical Texas State offense looks poised to dominate from the charity stripe. The Bobcats currently rank ninth in the country with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.303, while UT Arlington is among the nation’s most foul-prone squads (giving up a 263rd-ranked FTA rate of 0.251). Furthermore, the Mavericks commit the 36th-fewest errors in the nation (turnover percentage of 16.7 percent), while the ball-hawking defense of the Bobcats causes the 48th-most (opponents’ turnover percentage of 22.8 percent).

This is the first time these teams will battle this year. The Mavericks won both matchups played against each other last season. In the last matchup, UT Arlington won 81-73. UT Arlington’s 0.600 effective field goal percentage was its biggest strength over Texas State, who had a mark of 0.471.

UT Arlington Mavericks at Texas State Bobcats Odds Prediction

Pick: SU Winner – Texas State, ATS Winner – Texas State, O/U – Over


Betting Notes:

The Mavericks rank 18th in steals allowed per game (5.0) while the Bobcats rank 22nd (5.1).

UT Arlington ranks 45th in three pointers attempted per game (25.9) while Texas State ranks 290th (16.1).

The Mavericks rank 95th in rebounds per game (37.3) while the Bobcats rank 231st (33.5).

Texas State ranks 49th in assists allowed per game (10.8) while UT Arlington ranks 110th (12.2).

Bettings Trends:

The Bobcats’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 7.8, down from 8.6 for the season.

During their last five games, the Mavericks have scored an average of 71.2 points per game (0.2 below their season average) and allowed an average of 65.4 points per game (3.2 below their season average).


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