UNLV at Nevada College Football Betting Pick 11/30/19

0

The Wolf Pack (-7) are prepared to host their in-conference counterpart Unlv Rebels in Nevada. Fans are able to catch the action live on ATSN and this daytime matchup is scheduled to start at 3:00 p.m. ET.

UNLV vs. Nevada Betting Odds 11/30/2019

Nevada is giving up 7 points in this MWC game. The Rebels are currently getting +220 moneyline odds while the Wolf Pack are -300. This MWC game should offer multiple live betting possibilities. The over/under is set at 53.5 points.

The opening line was -8. The game’s over/under hasn’t changed since it opened at 53.5.

The Rebels are 3-8 straight up (SU), including 1-6 SU against conference opponents. The Wolf Pack are 7-4 SU overall and 4-3 SU in conference play. Each of these teams has posted a positive return this year as the Wolf Pack are ahead 16.7 units and the Rebels have gained 1.4 units.

The Rebels are coming off a 38-35 win over San Jose State last week where their secondary allowed the Spartans to air it out for 465 yards and three touchdowns. DeJon Packer was on a different level for the Spartans in that one with 78 rushing yards and a score on 16 attempts, along with 78 yards and a score on five catches. On the offensive side, Kenyon Oblad completed 21-of-36 passes for 203 yards, two scores and one interception. Charles Williams (186 rushing yards on 27 attempts, three TDs) led the running attack in the win while Randal Grimes (six receptions, 130 yards, one TD) and Mekhi Stevenson (six catches, 44 yards) shared the receiving duties.

The Nevada Wolf Pack just earned a 35-28 win over Fresno State. The team’s defensive secondary allowed the Bulldogs to air it out for 278 yards and four touchdowns. Ronnie Rivers had a productive showing in the loss, recording 88 yards and a score on seven catches for Fresno State. For Nevada, Carson Strong completed 20-of-31 passes for 154 yards and three touchdowns. Toa Taua (135 rushing yards on 20 attempts, one TD) mounted the ground attack in the win as Romeo Doubs (six receptions, 33 yards, two TDs) and Elijah Cooks (five catches, 60 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching corps.

UNLV has run the ball on 52.8 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Nevada has an overall rush percentage of 49.6 percent. The Rebels have run for 167 yards/game (including 129 per game versus Mountain West opponents) and have 16 scores via handoffs this year. The Wolf Pack are totaling 124 rushing yards per contest (118 in conference) and have 13 total rush TDs.

The Rebels have logged 204 yards per game through the air overall (234 per game against conference opposition) and have 17 passing TDs so far. The Wolf Pack have produced 227 pass yards per outing (225.7 in the MWC) and have 12 total pass scores.

On the defensive side of the ball, UNLV has allowed 193 rush yards and 248 pass yards per game. Nevada has allowed 134.9 yards per game on the ground and 262.5 to opponents in the air. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to the opposition, as the Rebels have given up an ANY/A of 6.94 to opposing QBs, while the Wolf Pack are yielding an ANY/A of 7.22.

Oblad has amassed 1,734 pass yards this season, and has connected on 141-of-264 attempts with 14 passing touchdowns and seven interceptions. Oblad’s got a 5.77 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 4.05 over the past two outings.

The Rebels have tried to control tempo by pounding the defense with their running backs. Along with Randal Grimes (696 yards, seven TDs), Charles Williams (1,062 rush yards, 10 rush TDs) and Chad Magyar (293 rush yards, one rush TD) have delivered in the offense for UNLV.

In the other locker room, Carson Strong has tallied 1,435 yards, eight TDs and six INTs. Strong’s ANY/A sits at 4.73 for the year and 5.16 over his past two outings.

The Wolf Pack will also try to control the game’s pace by turning to their backfield. Elijah Cooks (558 receiving yards, six TDs) has stepped up lately, but Toa Taua (697 rush yards, six rush TDs, 165 receiving yards) and Devonte Lee (236 rush yards, three rush TDs) have seen a lot of touches lately.

When these two programs met last year, UNLV emerged victorious by a final score of 34-29.

UNLV Rebels vs. Nevada Wolf Pack NCAA Prediction

SU Winner – Nevada, ATS Winner – Nevada, O/U – Under

Notes

Betting Notes

The Nevada offense has lost nine fumbles this season while UNLV has let six get away.

The Nevada D has registered twice as many sacks as UNLV this year (20 versus 10).

As a team, UNLV has averaged 5.0 yards per rush attempt over its past three games and 5.7 over its last two.

Nevada has averaged 3.6 yards per carry over its last three outings and 4.6 over its last two.

In its last three contests, Nevada is 3-0 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

The Over/Under for UNLV’s last game was 65.5. The over cashed in the team’s 38-35 win over San Jose State.

Over its last three games, UNLV is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

The O/U for Nevada’s last matchup was set at 51.5. The over cashed in that 35-28 victory over Fresno State.

LEAVE A REPLY

Please enter your comment!
Please enter your name here