Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Retrievers versus the River Hawks? Tip off is at at 1:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at Costello Athletic Center in Lowell, MA. The over/under for this game is set at 159 points, and the River Hawks are the home favorites against the Retrievers in a America East conference matchup.
UMBC RETRIEVERS VS MASSACHUSETTS-LOWELL RIVER HAWKS BETTING PICK
The Pick: UMBC Retrievers +14.5
This game will be played at Costello Athletic Center at 1:00 ET on Saturday, January 13th.
WHY BET THE UMBC RETRIEVERS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-68 in favor of the River Hawks.
- Even though we have Massachusetts-Lowell winning straight-up, we like UMBC at +14.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 159 points, and we like the under with a projected 142 points.
Do the Retrievers Have What it Takes in Lowell?
UMBC is coming off a 77-72 loss to Vermont and has lost seven straight games. The Retrievers are 5-12 overall and 0-2 in America East play. On the road, UMBC has a record of 1-8 this season.
This season, UMBC has been the underdog in 12 of its 17 games, going 3-9 in those contests. The Retrievers have lost their last five games on the road, and their average margin of defeat away from home is -11.1 points per game.
UMBC has an ATS record of 8-8 this season and they are 5-4 vs. the spread on the road. As the underdog, the Retrievers have gone 7-5 vs. the spread this year and they are 1-2 ATS in their last 3 games as the underdog. On the road, UMBC has an ATS mark of 6-4 in their last 10 games.
UMBC’s over/under record for the season is 11-5 and the average over/under line in their games is 155.6. So far, 10 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line of 159. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total in those games is 155 points.
The UMBC offense is coming off a game in which they scored 72 points vs. Vermont. Overall their field goal percentage was 41.7% while connecting on 11 threes. For the season, the UMBC offense has struggled to get to the free-throw line, ranking just 318th in terms of free-throw attempts per game. Their overall field goal percentage is currently 45%.
Coming into the game, UMBC will be looking to improve their defense, as they are currently giving up 83.4 points per game (327th). In their most recent game, the UMBC defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Vermont knocked down 12 three-pointers on their way to 77 points.
Can the River Hawks Offense Score Enough at Home?
Massachusetts-Lowell is 11-4 overall and 2-0 in America East games. They have won three straight games and are 6-2 when favored. At home, the River Hawks are 2-1 this season, and their average scoring margin is +6.0 points per game.
UMBC is coming off a 70-62 win over NJIT. The River Hawks have gone 9-1 in their last 10 games at home, and they are 4-1 in their last five home games.
UMass-Lowell has not been a good bet at home this season, going 0-3 ATS. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the River Hawks have a mark of just 4-6 vs. the spread.
Today’s over/under line of 159 is higher than the average over/under line in Massachusetts-Lowell games this season (145.1). On the year, the over/under record for the River Hawks is 4-8. In their last three games, the average scoring total is 150 points.
In contrast to their season average of 80.1 points per game, the Massachusetts-Lowell had a below average performance. They scored 70 points against NJIT and had a field goal percentage of 42.9%. On the offensive front, the River Hawks have a season-long field goal percentage of 48%, ranking 59th nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 317th in terms of percentage and 322nd in three-pointers made.
At this time, the River Hawks’ defense is positioned 54th in the country, permitting 65.3 points per game. The Massachusetts-Lowell defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 62 points and allowed NJIT to connect on 6 threes.