The UEFA Nations League continues Wednesday, October 14, with the rematch of the 2018 FIFA World Cup Final between Croatia and France.
The Blazers welcome the reigning world champions at Stadion Maksimir in Zagreb, Croatia, and we’ll undoubtedly see a great clash between a couple of heavyweight rivals.
Therefore, you’ll find all need-to-know betting tips and trends down below, as we’re breaking down the odds to get the best Croatia versus France betting pick.
Croatia vs. France
Three-way: 1: Croatia +275; X: +230 Draw; 2: France +100
Spread +0.5: Croatia -120; France +100
Total 2.5 Goals: Over +100; Under -120
Both Teams to Score: Yes -115; No +100
After the first three rounds of this Nations League group stage, the Blazers are sitting at the third spot of the Group 3 standings with three points and a 5:9 goal difference. They started with a couple of heavy losses at Portugal 4-1 and France 4-2 in September before the Blazers defeated Sweden 2-1 at home this past Sunday.
Croatia completed 84 percent of its passes through the first three rounds while taking 28 shots in total. That’s some solid stats, but the Blazers’ defense has been awful thus far and will need to improve as soon as possible.
On the other hand, both France and Portugal are an arguably better team than Croatia at the moment, so I’m not surprised by the Blazers’ previous results. They will look to stay ahead of bottom-placed Sweden for the rest of the way and avoid relegation from the League A which is a top tier of the UEFA Nations League.
- Croatia won eight of its last nine home games
- Eight of the Blazers’ last nine home games saw both teams scoring
- Croatia’s last six games overall produced three or more goals in total
The Blues beat Sweden 1-0 on the road and Croatia 4-2 at home in September. Last Sunday, they welcomed Portugal in Matchday 3 and earned a goalless draw.
With a lot on the table for both teams, France and Portugal took 10 shots each and hold the ball in possession for 50 percent of the time. Portugal remained atop of the group standings due to a better goal difference, while France sits at the second spot, four points ahead of Croatia.
The reigning world champs will certainly push forward in numbers when they face off against Croatia. France needs a win to keep pace with Portugal, and the Blues will try to score a few goals along the way to improve their goal difference.
- France won nine of its last 11 games overall along with a couple of draws
- The Blues won four straight road games without conceding
- Five of the Blues’ last eight contests produced fewer than three goals in total
As you can notice from the betting trends section, Croatia won eight of its last nine home contests, and both teams scored on eight occasions in that span. I expect this goal-galore trend to continue, having some faith in Croatia’s offense, while France’s powerful attack shouldn’t have any problems finding the net.
The Blazers have nothing to lose here. They will try their best to beat France and join the race for the top spot in Group 3, but that will be a tall task.
In their previous encounter, the Blazers scored the opener after just 17 minutes of play in the first half, but the Blues had a 2-1 lead at halftime. Croatia hold the ball in possession for 58 percent of the time and took 10 shots towards France’s goalie, so I think the Blazers will have enough firepower to find the net once more.
France beat Croatia 4-2 in the 2018 FIFA World Cup Final, too.