The UEFA Europa League Round of 16 starts Thursday, March 12, 2020, bringing the marquee clash at Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan in Sevilla, Spain, where the three-time Europa League champions Sevilla welcome AS Roma. Unfortunately, the first leg will be played without fans in the arena due to the Coronavirus outbreak. Sevilla is a slight -125 fave to qualify for the next round, while the visitors are -105 dogs to reach the quarterfinals.
Sevilla vs. AS Roma
Three-way: 1: Sevilla +110; X: +230 Draw; 2: AS Roma +275 at DSI Sportsbook
Spread -0.5: Sevilla +110; AS Roma -130
Total 2.5 Goals: Over +100; Under -125
Both Teams to Score: Yes -120; No -108
Sevilla barely outlasted CFR Cluj on away goals in the previous round of the Europa League. After a 1-1 draw in Romania, these two foes played without goals in Spain. Sevilla is undefeated over its last six games in all competitions including those two contests against Cluj, recording two wins and four draws I that six-game span. The Spanish side is coming off a 2-2 stalemate against Atletico Madrid at home this past Saturday.
Winger Lucas Ocampos leads the way for Sevilla this season, scoring 12 goals along with three assists in 29 outings. Striker Munir El Haddadi scored seven goals in 17 games, while playmaker Ever Banega is the team’s best assist-maker with seven dishes in 29 appearances. The manager Julen Lopetegui cannot count on midfielder Fernando due to a torn muscle, but all his other important first-team players are ready to go.
- Sevilla is undefeated in seven straight home games, recording three wins and four draws in the process
- Both teams scored in seven of Sevilla’s last nine games overall
- Five of Sevilla’s last seven games produced three or more goals in the total
The Yellow and Reds eliminated Gent 2-1 on aggregate in the previous round of the UEFA Europa League. After a 1-0 victory in the first leg as -215 favorites, the Yellow and Reds earned a 1-1 draw in the second leg in Belgium. They are undefeated in four straight games on all competitions including a 4-3 road victory over Cagliari in their previous outing in the Italian Serie A. Since that clash on March 1, AS Roma hasn’t taken the field due to the Coronavirus outbreak.
Striker Edin Dzeko leads the way for AS Roma with 15 goals and nine assists in 32 appearances in all competitions. Midfielder Lorenzo Pellegrini is the team’s best assist-maker with 11 dishes in 24 games, but he’ll miss Thursday’s game in Sevilla due to a muscle injury. Full-back Davide Zappacosta (knee) and midfielder Nicolo Zaniolo (knee) are sidelined with injuries, too, while playmaker Jordan Veretout has to serve his yellow card suspension.
- AS Roma lost three of its last five road games along with a win and a draw
- Both teams scored in AS Roma’s last six outings on the road
- Five of AS Roma’s last seven games had three or more goals in the total
This clash could easily go either way, as both Sevilla and AS Roma are pretty unpredictable this season. After some poor displays in January, AS Roma has improved lately, and I wouldn’t be surprised if the visitors stay undefeated in the first leg. Keep in mind that the first leg often brings a cautious approach on both sides, and I like to bet on a halftime draw when two similar teams take on each other with 90 minutes more to be played in the second leg.
I would stay away from betting on the final outcome, but wagering on both teams to score seems like a nice option. Neither team can rely on a stout defense, while both clubs possess some strong offensive weapons. Sevilla couldn’t keep its net intact in six of its previous eight home games, while AS Roma scored in eight straight outings on the road.
The Pick: Both Teams to Score YES (-120)
Additional Pick: Draw at Halftime (+110)