UEFA Champions League Quarterfinals Pick of the Day – Manchester City vs. Tottenham 4/17/19


The UEFA Champions League goes on this midweek with the second legs of the quarterfinals, and English derby between Manchester City and Tottenham is set for Wednesday, April 17, 2019, at Etihad Stadium in Manchester. Tottenham won the first leg at home 1-0 last week, but Manchester City is still a strong -150 favorite to qualify for the semifinals, so we expect to see a great battle Wednesday night.

Manchester City vs. Tottenham

Three-way: 1: Manchester City -333; X: +500 Draw; 2: Tottenham +1000

Spread -1.5: Manchester City -110; Tottenham -110

Total 3 Goals: Over -130; Under +110

Both Teams to Score: Yes -125; No -105


The Citizens are coming off a 3-1 victory at Crystal Palace on Sunday to keep the pace with Liverpool in the race for the English Premier League title. They are sitting at the 2nd spot of the table with 83 points out of 33 games and an 86:22 goal difference, two points behind Liverpool and a game in hand. The Citizens have won nine straight games in their domestic championship, suffering just two losses in their previous 20 outings in all competitions. In the previous round of the Champions League, the Citizens have beaten Schalke 10-2 on aggregate, winning the second leg at home 7-0.

Striker Sergio Aguero is the team’s top scorer with 29 goals in 40 appearances in all competitions, but the Argentinian international is questionable for the clash with Tottenham due to a hamstring injury. Forward Raheem Sterling is enjoying the wonderful season, bagging 21 goals along with 16 assists in 44 appearances. Winger Leroy Sane is the team’s best assist-maker with 18 dishes in 41 outings, while forward Riyad Mahrez has 11 goals and 11 assists in 42 games this season. The manager Pep Guardiola can count on all his players, besides Sergio Aguero who could wait for his chance off the bench.

Betting Trends:

  • Manchester City won nine of its last ten games overall
  • Both teams scored in three of the last 11 games overall
  • Manchester City won 12 straight contests at home


The Spurs are on a three-game winning streak following a 4-0 home victory over Huddersfield on Saturday, keeping their net intact in that span. Tottenham is currently sitting at the 3rd spot of the English Premier League table with 67 points out of 33 games and a 64:34 goal difference, 16 points behind Manchester City and one point ahead of Chelsea. In the previous round of the Champions League, the Spurs have defeated Borussia Dortmund 4-0 on aggregate, beating the German side in both legs (3-0 at home and 1-0 on the road).

Striker Harry Kane is leading the way for the Spurs, scoring 24 goals in 39 apps in all competitions this season, but he suffered an ankle injury in a 1-0 win over Manchester City last Tuesday that will rule him out for the rest of the season. It’s a massive blow for the Spurs, as Kane is their captain and best player. The manager Mauricio Pochettino has huge injury problems among his squad, as midfielders Dele Alli and Eric Dier will also miss the clash with the Citizens. Forward Heung-min Son and playmaker Christian Eriksen will lead the Spurs Wednesday night. Son has 18 goals and 10 assists this season, while Eriksen is the team’s best assist-maker with 16 dishes.

Betting Trends:

  • Tottenham lost five of its last six games on the road
  • Both teams scored in four of the last ten games overall
  • Seven of the last ten contests on the road had three or more goals in the total

Match Prediction

The Spurs put on a strong performance in the first leg at home, but without Harry Kane, they will have a mountain to climb on this one. The Citizens had just ten shots towards Hugo Lloris last week including Sergio Aguero’s missed penalty kick in the first half, and I expect to see a much better offensive performance by Pep Guardiola’s team. They’ve won 12 home games in a row, and I think the Citizens possess enough firepower to extend that streak.

Tottenham will certainly wait for some chances through counter attacks, and the Spurs desperately need to score here and put the Citizens under pressure to search for three goals to qualify for the next round. Heung-min Son scored the winning goal in the first leg, and he will try to use his quickness to score another in the second leg, but even if the Spurs find the net, I’m backing Manchester City to win by two or more goals. Also, I expect to see at least three goals in the total. If the visitors find the net, the Citizens will need to score three goals to win the matchup. But, if Manchester City gets a 2-0 lead, the Spurs will have to push forward in numbers. I hope the Citizens will break the deadlock in the first half because Tottenham will defend with all ten players as long as it stays 0-0 on the scoreboard.

The Pick: Manchester City AH -1 (-110)

Additional Pick: Over 3 goals (-130)