PSG vs. Borussia Dortmund (3/11/20) – UEFA Champions League Betting Odds, Pick & Tip


The UEFA Champions League Round of 16 continues Wednesday, March 11, 2020, when we’ll see the second leg between PSG and Borussia Dortmund at Parc des Princes in Paris, France. Due to the Coronavirus outbreak, there will be no fans on the stands, so the hosts will have no support trying to overcome a 2-1 deficit from the first leg in Germany. The Parisians are listed as +104 underdogs to qualify for the quarterfinals, but we’ll surely a great battle between two heavyweight rivals.

PSG vs. Borussia Dortmund

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Three-way: 1: PSG -133; X: +320 Draw; 2: Borussia Dortmund +310

Spread -1: PSG +120; Borussia Dortmund -154

Total 3.5 Goals: Over -110; Under -110

Both Teams to Score: Yes -250; No +175


The Parisians are riding a three-game win streak following a 5-1 victory at Lyon in the Coupe de France semifinal this past Wednesday. Kylian Mbappe put on another tremendous performance, scoring a hat-trick, and the 21-year old forward has bagged six goals over the last three outings. The Parisians have won 12 of their last 14 games in all competitions along with a draw and a 2-1 loss in Dortmund. Also, they’ve won four straight home contests, scoring four or more goals in each of those four showings.

Kylian Mbappe leads the way for PSG this season, scoring 30 goals along with 17 assists in 32 appearances. Brazilian forward Neymar added 17 goals and 10 assists in 21 outings, while winger Angel Di Maria is the team’s best assist-maker with 20 dishes. The Parisians are without defender Thiago Silva and forward Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting due to injuries, while full-back Thomas Meunier and midfielder Marco Verratti will miss the clash against Dortmund due to a suspension.

Betting Trends:

  • PSG won 12 of its last 13 home games along with a draw
  • Both teams scored in seven of PSG’s last eight games overall
  • Six of PSG’s last seven games produced four or more goals in the total


The Black and Yellows are coming off a 2-1 road victory over Borussia Monchengladbach this past Saturday, tallying their fifth straight win in all competitions. It was their second straight victory away from home, while the Black and Yellows have dropped three of their previous six road contests along with three wins. In three Champions League road games this season, they’ve recorded two losses and a win with a 3:5 goal difference.

The 19-year-old winger Jadon Sancho leads the way for Borussia Dortmund this season, scoring 17 goals along with 19 assists in 34 outings. Winger Thorgan Hazard added five goals and 11 dishes in 33 appearances, while the 19-year-old striker Erling Haaland netted 12 goals in 10 games since joining the club this winter. The Black and Yellows are without forward Marco Reus who’s recovering from a muscle injury, but all other players are ready to go.

Betting Trends:

  • Dortmund lost six of its last 14 road contests along with six wins and a couple of draws
  • Both teams scored in five of Dortmund’s last six road games
  • Four of Dortmund’s last six road games saw four or more goals on the scoreboard

Match Prediction

On paper, PSG is a better team than Borussia Dortmund. The Parisians possess a lethal frontline with Kylian Mbappe onwards and are capable of scoring a bunch of goals against anyone. They’ve netted a whopping 28 goals over the last eight outings, allowing 13 in a return. However, the Parisians’ defense is far away from an elite one. PSG kept its net intact only once in the last eight showings, so I think the visitors will find the net.

Therefore, if Dortmund scores, the hosts will need to find the net at least twice to force overtime. Whoever breaks the deadlock, the other team will have to push forward in numbers. The Parisians will eliminate the Black and Yellows with a 1-0 win, but I just don’t see this game finishing with just one or two goals in the total. I think we’ll see a proper high-scoring affair, while the Parisians should have enough firepower to outlast their opponents.

The Pick: PSG (-133)

Additional Pick: Over 3.5 goals (-110)

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