UEFA Champions League Match of the Day Round of 16 – Manchester United vs. PSG 2/12/19


The UEFA Champions League is back with the knock-out stage, and on Tuesday, February 12, 2019, Manchester United welcomes PSG in one of the most intriguing matchups of the Round of 16. The visitors search for their first Champions League title ever, while the hosts seek for their fourth trophy after an 11-year drought. Still, PSG is a -164 favorite to qualify for the next round ahead of the first leg in England.

Manchester United vs. PSG

Three-way: 1: Manchester United +125; X: +250 Draw; 2: PSG +200  BetDSI Sportsbook

Spread 0: Manchester United -140; PSG +120

Total 2.5 Goals: Over -135; Under +110

Both Teams to Score: Yes -175; No +125


The Red Devils have been playing in a tremendous form since they sacked Jose Mourinho, recording 10 victories and only one draw under Ole Gunnar Solskjaer. The 45-year old Norwegian tactician is the club’s icon, bagging 91 goals in 235 appearances for Manchester United and winning the Champions League Trophy back in 1999. He has completely transformed the Red Devils over the last few weeks, and his team is now sitting at the 4th spot of the English Premier League after a terrible start on the season. Manchester United has finished the group stage at the second spot of Group H table two points behind Juventus, recording three wins, one draw, and two losses with a 7:4 goal difference.

The French playmaker Paul Pogba is leading the Red Devils, scoring 13 goals and nine assists in 30 appearances in all competitions this season, and eight of those 13 goals have come with Solskjaer at the helm. The winger Anthony Martial has bagged 11 goals in 27 apps, while the forward Marcus Rashford has scored 10 goals and seven assists thus far. The Red Devils don’t have any serious injury problems among their squad, so we will see Solskjaer’s best eleven in the first leg against PSG.

Betting Trends:

  • Manchester United won seven of its last ten home games along with three draws
  • Both teams scored in three of the last five games overall
  • 11 of the last 15 games had three or more goals in the total


Paris SG is rolling over their rivals in their domestic championship, winning 19 of their 22 Ligue 1 games this season along with just one defeat and a couple of draws. However, that one loss came on February 3rd at Lyon 2-1, while the Parisians suffered another January ninth when they lost 2-1 to Guingamp in the French Coupe de la Ligue. Still, the Parisians have won seven of their last ten games and nine of their previous 13 outings on the road. PSG has finished at the top of the Group C ahead of Liverpool and Napoli, recording three wins, two ties, and one defeat with a 17:9 goal difference.

The skillful forward Kylian Mbappe is leading the way for the Parisians, bagging 22 goals along with 14 assists in 27 appearances this season. The experienced striker Edinson Cavani has also scored 22 goals, adding eight assists to his name in 26 games thus far. The winger Neymar has 20 goals and 11 assists on his account, but the Brazilian international will miss the matchup with Manchester United due to a foot injury which is a huge blow for PSG. The manager Thomas Tuchel has another worry ahead of the first leg in Manchester, as Edinson Cavani is doubtful after suffering a hip injury last weekend.

Betting Trends:

  • PSG won four of its last six road games along with one loss and a tie
  • Both teams scored in two of the last seven games overall
  • Six of the last nine games had three or more goals in the total

Match Prediction

Neymar’s injury is already a big issue, and if Cavani doesn’t suit up, the Parisians will be in big trouble at the front. Still, the Red Devils kept their net intact in five of their last six games overall, and their defense isn’t an elite one, for sure, but their goalie David de Gea is one of the best keepers in the world. I expect the visitors to control the ball in the middle of the park, and I think we’ll see a patient approach on both sides with 90 minutes more to be played in the second leg. Therefore, I’m backing the under on the totals.

When it comes to the side bet, this clash could be easily ended in a stalemate. Manchester United is playing in an excellent form, while PSG possesses plenty of talent (arguably more than the hosts), so I just cannot separate them and will go with a draw. Also, picking a draw at halftime could be a nice wager.

The Pick: Draw (+250)

Additional Pick: Under 2.5 goals (+110)