UCLA at No. 8 Utah College Football Betting Pick 11/16/19

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The UCLA Bruins (+21) are flying east to visit their in-conference foe No. 8 Utah Utes at Rice-Eccles Stadium. The game will get underway at 8:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch it live by tuning in to FOX.

UCLA vs. No. 8 Utah Betting Odds 11/16/2019

UCLA is the noticeable underdog here and is currently getting three touchdowns from bookmakers. The over/under has been set at 53.5 points, and it appears that there might be some good live betting possibilities for this game.

The line opened at -21 while the over/under hasn’t moved since it opened at 53.5.

The Bruins are 4-5 straight up (SU), including 4-2 SU against Pac-12 opponents. The Utes are 8-1 SU overall and are also 5-1 SU in conference play. Each team has posted a positive return this year as the Bruins have gained 5.2 units and the Utes are ahead 3.3 units.

The Bruins want to keep things rolling after a 31-14 victory over Colorado on November 2 where Dorian Thompson-Robinson completed 21-of-28 passes for 226 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Joshua Kelley (126 rushing yards on 23 attempts, two TDs) and the signal-caller Thompson-Robinson (38 yards on 11 carries) led the ground attack. Devin Asiasi (four receptions, 45 yards, one TD) and Kazmeir Allen (four catches, 29 yards) shared the receiving duties in the win.

Utah just got a 33-28 win over Washington a couple of weeks ago. The defensive secondary allowed the Huskies to air it out for 316 yards and four touchdowns. Hunter Bryant had a good outing in the loss for Washington, recording 105 yards and two touchdowns on six catches. For Utah, Tyler Huntley completed 19-of-24 passes for 284 yards and one touchdown. Zack Moss (100 rushing yards on 27 attempts, one TD) led the running game while Moss (five receptions, 41 yards, one TD) and Demari Simpkins (four catches, 31 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the win.

UCLA has run the ball on 56.4 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Utah has a rush percentage of 65.1 percent. The Bruins have run for 171 yards per game (including 217 per game against Pac-12 opponents) and have 15 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Utes are logging 208 rush yards per contest (199 in conference) and have 23 total rushing TDs.

It seems like the Utes may hold an advantage in terms of efficiency in the ground game. Their backfield has logged 4.8 yards per carry while the defense has allowed 2.4 YPC to opponents. The Bruins have ran for 4.1 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 4.0 to opponents.

The Bruins have averaged 236 yards through the air overall (261 per game against conference opposition) and have 18 passing scores so far. The Utes have recorded 239 pass yards per outing (251.3 against Pac-12 foes) and have 12 total pass TDs.

Defensively, UCLA has allowed opponents to run for an average of 137 yards and pass for 294 yards per game. Utah has been significantly better than that, giving up 56.0 rushing yards per game and 190.3 to opponents in the air. The Utes are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 4.05 to opposing QBs, while the Bruins have allowed an ugly 8.62 ANY/A.

Huntley has been sharper than Thompson-Robinson of late. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 10.80 for the year and 12.00 over his last two outings while Thompson-Robinson’s ANY/A is 6.15 (and 7.02 over the last two games).

When these two squads met last year, Utah knocked UCLA off handily 41-10.

UCLA Bruins vs. Utah Utes NCAA Prediction

SU Winner – Utah, ATS Winner – UCLA, O/U – Over

Notes

Team Betting Trends

The O/U for UCLA’s last game was set at 63.5. The under cashed in the team’s 31-14 victory over Colorado.

As a team, UCLA has averaged 4.7 yards per carry over its past three games and 4.0 over its last two.

Utah has averaged 3.6 yards per carry over its last three contests and 3.7 over its last two.

The Utah offense has lost eight fumbles this season while UCLA has let seven get away.

In its last three games, UCLA is 3-0 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

The Over/Under for Utah’s last matchup was set at 49. The over cashed in the team’s 33-28 victory over Washington.

Over its last three matches, Utah is 3-0 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

The Bruins offense has registered four pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Utes have accounted for 10 such plays.

The UCLA defense has allowed eight pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Utah has given up four such plays.

The UCLA offense has created 12 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Utah has created 11 such runs.

The Bruins defense has allowed nine rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Utes have given up two such runs.

The UCLA defensive unit has sacked opposing QBs 21 times this year. Utah has produced 18 sacks.

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