UCLA at Arizona College Football Betting Pick 9/28/19


The UCLA Bruins and Arizona Wildcats will go head-to-head on the turf at Arizona Stadium. This showdown will kick off fairly late for fans on the East Coast (10:30 p.m. ET) and ESPN is in line to have the TV rights.

UCLA vs. Arizona Betting Odds 9/28/2019

Arizona is favored by 8 points in this Pac-12 game. The Bruins are currently getting +250 moneyline odds while the Wildcats are -330. This Pac-12 matchup could have multiple live betting opportunities. The over/under has been set at 71.5 points.

Betting odds have shifted a bit from where they originally opened. The line opened at -7 while the game’s over/under was placed initially at 71.

The Bruins are 1-3 straight up (SU), including 1-0 SU against conference opponents. The Wildcats are 2-1 SU overall and are also 0-0 SU in conference play. The profitable Bruins are 1-3 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 4.0 units so far in 2019. They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an O/U record of 1-3.

The Wildcats have been a disappointment to moneyline bettors this season, losing 2.8 units. The team is 1-2 ATS and has an O/U record of 2-1.

The Bruins just scored a 67-63 victory over Washington State last week. Dorian Thompson-Robinson completed 25 passes for 507 yards, five scores and one interception. Joshua Kelley (90 yards on 20 rush attempts) and the signal-caller Thompson-Robinson (57 yards on 11 carries, two TDs) led the ground attack. Demetric Felton (seven receptions, 150 yards, two TDs) and Chase Cota (four catches, 147 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties in the win.

The Arizona Wildcats are coming off of a 28-14 win over Texas Tech. The team’s defensive unit allowed the Red Raiders to pass for 307 yards while rushing for 104 yards. T.J. Vasher had a productive outing in the defeat for Texas Tech, recording 96 yards on six catches. For Arizona, Khalil Tate completed 14-of-23 passes for 185 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. Gary Brightwell (85 yards on 21 rush attempts, two TDs) and the signal-caller Tate (129 yards on 17 carries, one TD) handled the running attack while Tayvian Cunningham (five receptions, 35 yards) and Stanley Berryhill III (two catches, 34 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching attack in the win.

UCLA has run the ball on 53.2 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Arizona has a rush percentage of 60.7 percent. The Bruins have rushed for 96 yards per game and have three touchdowns on the ground this year. The Wildcats are putting up 308 rushing yards per contest and have nine total rush TDs.

It appears that the Wildcats should have an advantage in all aspects of the ground game. Their running backs has logged 6.6 yards per carry while the defense is allowing 4.0 YPC to opponents. The Bruins have registered 2.7 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 4.5 to opponents.

The Bruins have tallied 266 yards/contest through the air overall and have 10 passing TDs so far. The Wildcats have put up 278 pass yards per outing and have nine total pass scores.

UCLA should have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has let opponents rush for an average of 179 yards and throw for 352 yards per game. Arizona has allowed 110.7 yards per game on the ground and 372 to opponents in the air. The Wildcats are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.95 to opposing QBs, while the Bruins have allowed an ugly 10.41 ANY/A.

Thompson-Robinson has amassed 862 pass yards this season, and has completed 57-of-99 attempts with eight passing touchdowns and three interceptions. Thompson-Robinson’s got a sparkling 8.05 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 9.46 over the last two games.

Khalil Tate has accounted for 546 yards, four TDs and four INTs for Arizona. His ANY/A sits at 6.53 for the year and 6.71 over his last two games.

When these two schools met last year, UCLA earned the win 31-30.

UCLA Bruins at Arizona Wildcats Betting Pick

SU Winner – Arizona, ATS Winner – Arizona, O/U – Under


Team Betting Trends

The Bruins offense has created three pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Wildcats have accounted for five such plays.

Both defenses have allowed four pass plays of 40+ yards. The UCLA defense has given up 10 pass plays of 30+ yards while Arizona has yielded 11 such plays.

The UCLA offense has created one rushing play of 20 or more yards, while Arizona has created 13 such runs.

The Bruins defense has allowed five rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Wildcats have given up three such runs.

The UCLA D has sacked opposing quarterbacks six times this year. Arizona has registered two sacks.

UCLA has averaged 3.5 yards per carry over its last two outings.

Arizona has averaged 7.0 yards per carry over its last two.

Over its last three matches, Arizona is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

The O/U for UCLA’s previous game was 59. The over cashed in the team’s 67-63 victory over Washington State.

Over its last three matches, UCLA is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

The O/U for Arizona’s previous matchup going into it was 74. The under cashed in the 28-14 win over Texas Tech.

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