Planning on watching today’s Aggies and Beach game? Catch the action at Walter Pyramid in Long Beach, CA, as the Beach hosts this showdown at 6:00 ET on ESPN+. The over/under for this Big West conference contest is set at 148.5 points, with Long Beach State being favored by -2.5 at home against UC Davis.


The Pick: Long Beach State Beach -2.5

This game will be played at Walter Pyramid at 6:00 ET on Saturday, March 9th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Beach.
  • Not only will Long Beach State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -2.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 148.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Do the Aggies Have What it Takes in Long Beach?

UC Davis will be looking for their third straight win after defeating California-San Diego by a score of 70-63. The Aggies have a record of 18-12 this season and are 13-6 in Big West games. On the road, UC Davis has gone 7-6 compared to 9-6 at home.

So far this season, UC Davis has been the underdog in 10 games and has gone 5-5 in those matchups. For the year, they have been the underdog in 10 games and have gone 5-5. Over their last 10 road games, the Aggies have gone 7-3.

UC Davis has an ATS record of 14-14 this season, going 7-6 vs. the spread on the road. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Aggies have a mark of 7-3.

UC Davis’ over/under record this season is 10-18 and the average scoring total in their games is 138.6 points. Today’s over/under line of 148.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games (142.9). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 134 points and their over/under record during that span is 0-3.

Coming off their recent game, the UC Davis offense tallied 70 points in a matchup against California-San Diego. Their field goal percentage for the game was 46.9%, and they made 8 threes. Elijah Pepper is leading the team in scoring at 20.6 points per contest. Ty Johnson has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 17.6 going into the game.

This season, the UC Davis defense has been impressive, holding the 66th position in the country while permitting an average of 67.6 points per contest. In their previous game vs. California-San Diego, the Tritons finished with a field goal percentage of 48% and a total of 63 points vs. UC Davis.

Will Long Beach State Live Up to Expectations at Home?

Long Beach State Beach has an overall record of 18-13, including a 10-9 mark in Big West Conference games. They have lost four straight games, and their record as the favorite is 11-7.

At home this season, Long Beach State Beach is 6-4, and their average scoring margin is +2.3 points per game. They are coming off of a 76-74 loss to UC Santa Barbara.

Long Beach State’s ATS record for the season is 13-16 and they are 4-6 vs. the spread at home. In their last 10 games as the favorite, the Beach are 5-5 ATS.

Long Beach State’s over/under record for the season is 16-13 and today’s line of 148.5 is similar to the average over/under line in their games (152.3). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 146 points, which is slightly below the OU line of 148.5. On the year, 20 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line.

In their latest game, Long Beach State offense put up 74 points against UC Santa Barbara. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 41.8% and made 5 threes. One area that the Long Beach State offense has been good this season is getting to the line. Currently, they are 11th in free-throw attempts per contest. Overall, they have a field goal percentage of 44%.

Currently, the Beach’s defense holds the 269th rank in the nation, allowing 75.7 points per game. Long Beach State will look once again to perform well on defense, holding UC Santa Barbara to just 41% shooting in their most recent game.