On Saturday, November 25th at 2:00 PM ET, the UAB Blazers and North Texas Mean Green at Apogee Stadium in Denton, TX. ESPN+ is carrying television coverage the for game. In this American Athletic game, the Mean Green are listed as 3 point home favorites. Will they come out with a win at home and cover the spread?


The Pick: UAB Blazers +3

This game will be played at Apogee Stadium at 2:00 ET on Saturday, November 25th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 37-34 in favor of North Texas.
  • Even though we have North Texas winning straight-up, we like UAB at +3.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 72.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 71 points.

Is A Road Victory Likely for Underdog UAB?

The UAB Blazers take on the North Texas with a 4-7 record, including 0-5 on the road and 3-2 at home.

UAB has gone into three games as the favorite this season and seven games as the underdog. Their ATS record is currently 5-5.

Heading into this week’s game, UAB’s over/under record is 6-4. Their average margin against their over/under lines is currently +6.6 with their games averaging 65 points per game.

On offense, the Blazers come in with the 21st ranked offense in terms of passing attempts and are averaging 289.3 passing yards per game. In the running game, they are 52nd in terms of attempts.

UAB’s defense is ranked 121st in passing yards allowed per game as they prepare for this matchup. Opponents have attempted an average of 30.5 passing attempts against the Blazers. They have given up 36.2 points per game so far, placing them 151st in college football. In the NCAA’s rush defense category, they are 149th.

Are the Mean Green Ready for a Home Win?

This season, the North Texas Mean Green are currently 4-7. So far this season, they have played six road games and four at home.

Against the spread, North Texas has gone 6-3-1 this season. The Mean Green have been favored three times compared to seven games as the underdog.

So far in this season, North Texas has posted an over/under record of 4-6. On average, their matchups have yielded a combined score of 70.2 points, with the typical over/under line set at 63.8 points.

In the rushing game, the Mean Green are currently 45th in college football with 400 attempts per game. This has resulted in an average of 187 rushing yards per game, putting them 26th nationally. Their passing game has averaged 37.2 passes and 295.4 yards per game. When it comes to scoring, they are 23rd, averaging 33.5 points per game.

The Mean Green defense comes into the game with 15 sacks, and ranked 1st in QB hurries. In terms of points allowed, they are giving up 36.6 points per game (153rd). When it comes to defending the pass, they are ranked 77th in the NCAA, allowing an average of 215.5 passing yards per game. Additionally, North Texas’ run defense comes in allowing 258.8 rushing yards per contest.