Tulsa at Tulane College Football Betting Pick 11/2/19


Two schools that like to focus on their running games, Coach Philip Montgomery and the Tulsa Golden Hurricane (+10) are facing off against the Tulane Green Wave (-10) at Benson Field at Yulman Stadium. Kickoff for this conference game is set for 4:00 p.m. ET and ESPN2 is scheduled to broadcast the action.

Tulsa at Tulane Betting Odds 11/2/2019

Tulane is giving up 10 points in this AAC game. The Golden Hurricane are currently getting +300 moneyline odds while the Green Wave are -400. The over/under is set at 61.5 points, and if one side catches a lucky break early, it will probably produce a worthy in-game betting scenario.

The early action has shifted toward the Green Wave. The line opened at -9 and the game’s O/U hasn’t moved after it was initially posted at 61.5.

The Golden Hurricane are 2-6 straight up (SU), including 0-4 SU against AAC opponents. The Green Wave are 5-3 SU overall and 2-2 SU in conference play. The Golden Hurricane have lost 3.2 units so far and are 5-3 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a decent under bet and have recorded an O/U mark of 3-5.

The Green Wave have gained 0.0 units this season. The team is 6-2 ATS and five of its games have gone over the total.

These two schools met a year ago with the final result being a 24-17 victory for Tulane.

The Golden Hurricane will look to get back in stride after a 42-41 defeat to Memphis last week where Zach Smith completed 23 passes for 309 yards and one touchdown. Shamari Brooks (156 rushing yards on 36 attempts, one TD) and Corey Taylor II (85 yards on 13 carries, three TDs) led the ground attack while Keylon Stokes (nine receptions, 129 yards) and Sam Crawford Jr. (seven catches, 76 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.

One week ago, Navy knocked off this Tulane crew by a score of 41-38. The Green Wave defense allowed the Midshipmen to rush for 385 yards on 56 attempts, including three rush TDs. Malcolm Perry had a solid showing in the win, posting 142 rushing yards on 22 attempts for Navy. For Tulane, Justin McMillan completed 20-of-29 passes for 290 yards, three touchdowns and two interceptions. McMillan (25 yards on 16 rush attempts, two TDs) and Tyjae Spears (60 yards on 12 carries) mounted the running game while Darnell Mooney (five receptions, 112 yards, one TD) and Jalen McCleskey (four catches, 42 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the loss.

Tulsa’s run the ball on 52.3 percent of its offensive plays this year, including 49.3 percent across possessions in conference play. Tulane has an overall run percentage of 63.1 percent, and has rushed the ball 60.6 percent of the time against AAC opponents. The Golden Hurricane have produced 132 rush yards per game (including 158 per game versus American Athletic Conference opponents) and have 12 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Green Wave are putting up 258 rush yards per contest (242 in conference) and have 23 total rushing TDs.

If 2019 numbers can translate to this game, then the Green Wave may have an edge in all aspects of the ground game. Their backfield has produced 5.8 yards per carry while their defense has allowed 4.6 YPC to opponents. The Golden Hurricane have registered 3.1 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 4.7 to opponents.

The Golden Hurricane have averaged 273 yards in the air overall (288 per game against conference opposition) and have 11 passing scores so far. The Green Wave have produced 216 pass yards per outing (246.5 against AAC foes) and have 14 total pass TDs.

Defensively, Tulsa has let opponents rush for an average of 195 yards and throw for 204 yards per game. Tulane has allowed 172.4 rushing yards per game and 190.9 to opponents in the air. The Green Wave are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.78 to opponents, while the Golden Hurricane have allowed a 7.42 ANY/A.

Smith has amassed 1,927 pass yards this season, and has completed 148-of-265 attempts with 11 passing touchdowns and four interceptions. Smith has a 6.27 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 4.82 over the last two outings.

The Golden Hurricane have tried to control tempo by feeding their running backs early and often. In addition to receiver Keylon Stokes (596 receiving yards and four touchdowns), Shamari Brooks (620 rush yards, five rush TDs) and Corey Taylor II (245 rush yards, four rush TDs) have delivered in the offense for Tulsa.

On the other sideline, Justin McMillan has accounted for 1,332 yards, 11 TDs and four INTs. McMillan’s ANY/A sits at 7.55 for the season and 4.56 across his last two games.

The Green Wave will also try to dictate the game’s pace by turning to their backfield. In addition to Darnell Mooney (444 receiving yards, four receiving TDs), Justin McMillan (326 rush yards, eight rush TDs) and Amare Jones (261 rush yards, four rush TDs, 242 receiving yards, one TD) have gotten a multitude of touches lately.

Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Tulane Green Wave Bedding Prediction

SU Winner – Tulane, ATS Winner – Tulane, O/U – Over


Team Betting Notes

The Tulane defense has sacked opposing QBs 11 times this year. Tulsa has registered seven sacks.

Tulane has lost four fumbles in 2019 while Tulsa has let six get away.

The Green Wave have made 11 pass plays of 30+ yards while the Golden Hurricane have accounted for 15 such plays.

The Tulsa defense has allowed seven pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Tulane has given up four such plays.

The Tulsa offense has created six rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Tulane has created 17 such runs.

The Golden Hurricane defense has allowed 18 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Green Wave have given up 11 such runs.

The O/U for Tulane’s last match going into it was 58. The over cashed in the team’s 41-38 loss to Navy.

In its last three matches, Tulane is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

Over its last three contests, Tulsa is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

Tulsa has lost six of its last seven games SU, with a three-point victory over Wyoming on September 21st representing the only win over that span.

The O/U for Tulsa’s last game going into it was 59. The over cashed in the team’s 42-41 defeat to Memphis.

Tulsa has averaged 3.6 yards per carry over its past three games and 3.9 over its last two.

Tulane has averaged 5.3 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.4 over its last two.


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