Troy vs. Louisiana College Football Betting Pick 11/23/19


The Troy Trojans (+15) are set to face off against their in-conference nemesis Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns (-15) at Cajun Field. The game is scheduled to get underway at 5:00 p.m. ET and ESPN+ will televise the action.

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Troy at Louisiana Betting Odds 11/23/2019

Louisiana is giving up 15 points in this SBC game. The Trojans are currently getting +510 moneyline odds while the Ragin’ Cajuns are -750. The over/under is set at 70 points, and there should be multiple decent in-game betting opportunities for this contest.

The sharp action has been siding with the Ragin’ Cajuns. The line initially opened at -13 while the O/U was originally 69.5.

The Trojans are 5-5 straight up (SU), including 3-3 SU against SBC opponents. The Ragin’ Cajuns are 8-2 SU overall and 5-1 SU in conference play. The Trojans are 4-6 against the spread (ATS) and are down 2.6 units so far in 2019. The team has posted an Over-Under record of 7-3.

The Ragin’ Cajuns have been a pleasant surprise for moneyline bettors this season, gaining 3.0 units. They’re 8-2 ATS and have an even O/U record of 5-5.

The Trojans are coming off a resounding 63-27 win over Texas State last week. The passing game was on point as Kaleb Barker completed 30-of-43 passes for 363 yards and six touchdowns. DK Billingsley (only 40 rushing yards on 12 attempts) spearheaded the ground attack while Kaylon Geiger (eight receptions, 61 yards) and Luke Whittemore (four catches, 56 yards, one TD) shared the receiving duties in the win.

Louisiana takes the field this week having just earned a 37-27 win over South Alabama. Levi Lewis completed 16-of-28 passes for 136 yards and two touchdowns. Elijah Mitchell (117 yards on 17 rush attempts, one TD) and Raymond Calais (77 yards on 13 carries) mounted the running game while Ja’Marcus Bradley (three receptions, 27 yards) and Jamal Bell (three catches, 51 yards) led the receiving corps in the win.

Troy has run the ball on 45.9 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Louisiana has a rush percentage of 60.4 percent. The Trojans have run for 153 yards/game (including 154 per game versus Sun Belt opponents) and have 18 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Ragin’ Cajuns are totaling 278 rushing yards per contest (248 in conference) and have 34 total rush TDs.

The Trojans have averaged 325 yards in the air overall (350 per game versus conference opposition) and have 30 passing TDs so far. The Ragin’ Cajuns have produced 210 pass yards per outing (189.2 in the SBC) and have 17 total pass scores.

Troy has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 145 yards and throw for 264 yards per game. Louisiana has allowed 167.2 rushing yards per game and 183.8 to opponents in the air. The Ragin’ Cajuns are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 4.98 to opponents, while the Trojans have given up a 6.90 ANY/A.

Barker has already put up 2,839 pass yards this season, and has connected on 233-of-346 attempts with 27 passing touchdowns and only six interceptions. Barker has a sparkling 8.21 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 9.68 over the last two outings.

Levi Lewis has tallied 1,611 yards, 13 TDs and three INTs for Louisiana. His ANY/A stands at 7.26 for the season and 8.88 across his last two games.

These two programs faced off a year ago with the final result being a 26-16 win for Troy.

Troy Trojans vs. Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns Free Pick

SU Winner – Louisiana, ATS Winner – Louisiana, O/U – Under


Team Betting Trends

The Troy defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks 29 times this season. Louisiana has produced just 20 sacks.

Louisiana has lost eight fumbles this season while Troy has lost six.

The Trojans offense has recorded eight pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Ragin’ Cajuns have put up three such plays.

The Troy defense has allowed 13 pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Louisiana has given up six such plays.

The Troy offense has created 10 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Louisiana has created 29 such runs.

The Trojans defense has allowed nine rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Ragin’ Cajuns have given up 12 such runs.

The O/U for Louisiana’s previous outing going into it was 53. The over cashed in the team’s 37-27 win over South Alabama.

In its last three matches, Louisiana is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

Over its last three matches, Troy is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.

Louisiana has won nine of its last 10 games SU, with a -10-point defeat to Appalachian State on October 9th representing its only loss over that stretch.

The Over/Under for Troy’s last game was 64.5. The over cashed in the team’s 63-27 win over Texas State.

As a team, Troy has averaged 5.1 yards per carry across its past three games and 5.9 over its last two.

Louisiana has averaged 6.0 yards per carry over its last three outings and 5.9 over its last two.

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