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The Maple Leafs and Flyers are set to face off at 7:00 ET on NBCS. The Flyers will host the game at Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, PA. The Maple Leafs are the -1.5 goal favorite in this Eastern conference matchup against Flyers. The over/under for the game is set at 6.5 goals.

TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS VS PHILADELPHIA FLYERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Philadelphia Flyers +1.5

This game will be played at Wells Fargo Center at 7:00 ET on Tuesday, March 19th.

WHY BET THE PHILADELPHIA FLYERS:

  • Despite being 1.5 goal underdogs, we predict the Flyers to come out on top with a final score of 4-3.
  • We like the Flyers on the moneyline (+111)
  • The Flyers are also our pick on the spread at +1.5

Will Toronto Pull Through as the Favored Road Team?

On the season, the Maple Leafs have gone 38-20-9, putting them in 3rd place in the Atlantic Division and 5th place in the Eastern Conference. On the road, Toronto has gone 20-7-6, including a current two-game winning streak.

As the favorite, the Maple Leafs have gone 33-14-7 this season and have won three straight games when favored. In games against Eastern Conference opponents, Toronto has gone 15-20.

On the season, the Maple Leafs have a puck line record of 24-42, including a road puck line record of 13-20. So far, Toronto has 20 wins by multiple goals and 18 wins by just one goal.

Over their last ten games, the Leafs' puck line record is 4-6, and their average scoring margin as the favorite is +.6 goals per game. In their last ten road games, Toronto's puck line record is 7-3.

For the season, Toronto's games have finished with an average of 6.8 goals per game. Their average over/under line for the season is 6.5. Overall, the Maple Leafs have an over/under record of 35-29-2.

Across the Maple Leafs last three road games, the team averaged 3 goals per game while allowing 2. Their record vs the puck line in these contests was 1-2, while going 2-1 straight-up.

The Maple Leafs come into the game scoring an average of 3.6 goals per game, putting them 4th in the NHL. Regarding shots targeted at the goal per game, they are 9th in the league. This year, the Maple Leafs have recorded a 20-10 record in games where they outshoot their opponent. For games with fewer shots on goal, they have a 16-8 record.

The leading scorer for Toronto's offense is Auston Matthews. Coming into the game he has 55 goals, ranking 1st in the NHL. Along with his scoring, he has come up with 27 assists so far.

In terms of defense, the Flyers head into the game ranked 30th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 27.6 shots per game against Philadelphia. So far, they are 16th in shutouts, achieving 4 shutouts.

Goalie Joseph Woll gets the start and has made 16 starts this season. His record at this point is 9-7, and his save percentage is 0.536%.

Will Philadelphia Win at Home?

At home this season, the Flyers have a record of 17-14-3, and in the Eastern Conference, they are in 7th place with a mark of 15-22. Over their last ten games, Philadelphia is 4-6, and they have dropped two straight games. On the year, the Flyers are 34-26-8.

Philadelphia has been the underdog in 47 of their 68 games, and they are 21-20-6 when not favored. Against the Metropolitan Division, the Flyers have gone 8-11, and they have lost three straight games as the underdog.

At home this season, the Flyers have a puck line record of 14-20, and their average scoring margin is -.2 goals per game. Overall, Philadelphia has gone 40-28 on the puck line, including a mark of 34-13 as the underdog.

So far, the Flyers have 20 wins by multiple goals compared to 14 wins by one goal. In their last ten games at home, the team's puck line record is 5-5, and their average scoring differential is -.3 goals per contest.

This season, Philadelphia's games have an average of 6 goals per game. The average over/under number for the season is 6.1. The Flyers come in with an over/under performance of 29-36-3.

Through their last three road contests, the Maple Leafs offense has averaged 3 goals per game while allowing an average of 2. Toronto posted an overall record of 2-1 while going 1-2 ATS.

Offensively, the Flyers come into the game at 2.9 goals per contest placing 23rd in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are in 2nd position in the league. Philadelphia's offense is currently ranked 31st in power play goals. When it comes to shorthanded goals, they are 1st in the league.

Philadelphia's current leading scorer is Travis Konecny. This season, he has 27 goals, which puts him 33rd in the NHL. Konecny also comes into the game with 31 assists.

In terms of defense, the Flyers head into the game ranked 30th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 27.6 shots per game against Philadelphia. So far, they are 16th in shutouts, achieving 4 shutouts.

Heading into this matchup vs. Toronto, goalie Samuel Ersson has started 37 games in this season. His current record is 19-14, and his save percentage stands at 0.718%.