Toronto Maple Leafs vs Boston Bruins Betting Pick & Prediction 4/30/24

Don't miss out on the NHL showdown between the Maple Leafs and Bruins. The game is starting at 7:00 ET on ESPN, and it's hosted by the Bruins at TD Garden in Boston, MA. Get ready to place your bets! The over/under for this matchup is currently set at 5.5 goals and the Bruins are the -1.5 favorite to win at home vs. the Maple Leafs.

TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS VS BOSTON BRUINS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Boston Bruins -1.5

This game will be played at TD Garden at 7:00 ET on Tuesday, April 30th.

WHY BET THE BOSTON BRUINS:

• Even though they are considered 1.5-goal underdogs, our projection points to a 4-3 win for the Maple Leafs.
• We like the Maple Leafs on the moneyline (+136)
• The Maple Leafs are also our pick on the spread at +1.5

Can the Maple Leafs Lock in a Win at Boston?

With a record of 46-26-10, the Maple Leafs finished the season in 3rd place in the Atlantic Division and 5th in the Eastern Conference. On the road this year, Toronto has gone 24-11-6 and have lost their last two games away from home. Over their last ten games, the Maple Leafs have gone just 3-7, and they have dropped their last two games overall.

When playing as the underdog, Toronto has gone 7-8-2 this season, and they have lost each of their last two games when not favored. In games against other Eastern Conference teams, the Maple Leafs have gone 22-28 this year.

On the road this season, Toronto has gone 18-23 vs. the puck line, and their average scoring margin is +.6 goals per game. So far, the Maple Leafs have been the underdog in 17 games, going 11-6 vs. the puck line in those contests.

Overall, the team's puck line record is 32-50, and they have 27 wins by multiple goals. In their last ten games, Toronto has gone just 2-8 vs. the puck line, and their puck line record as the underdog is 21-44.

For the season, Toronto's games have finished with an average of 6.9 goals per game. Their average over/under line for the season is 6.5. Overall, the Maple Leafs have an over/under record of 45-35-2.

Across their three previous road games, Toronto has an puck line mark of 1-2. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-2 while averaging 2 goals per game.

Offensively, the Maple Leafs come into the game at 3.6 goals per contest placing 2nd in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are in 7th position in the league. This year, the Maple Leafs have recorded a 24-14 record in games where they outshoot their opponent. For games with fewer shots on goal, they have a 20-10 record.

The leading scorer for Toronto's offense is Auston Matthews. Coming into the game he has 69 goals, ranking 1st in the NHL. In addition to his goal scoring, Matthews has 38 assists this season.

The Bruins defense is currently 10th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 30.4 shots per game against Boston. In terms of shutouts, they come into the game ranked 11th with 5 shutouts.

Goalie Joseph Woll gets the start and has made 23 starts this season. His record at this point is 12-11, and his save percentage is 0.586%.

Pressure Builds for Boston as Home Favorites

At home this season, the Bruins are 24-11-6 and have lost two straight games. In the Eastern Conference standings, Boston is in fourth place and has a record of 30-20 against conference opponents. Overall, the Bruins have a record of 47-20-15.

Over their last ten games, Boston has gone 6-4 and is currently on a two-game losing streak as the favorite. On the year, the Bruins have been favored in 67 of their 82 games and have gone 38-18-11 in those games.

On the season, the Bruins have gone 39-43 against the puck line, including 31 wins by multiple goals. In their last ten games at home, the Bruins have gone just 3-7 against the puck line, and their average scoring margin at home this year is just +.7 goals per game.

So far, the Bruins have been favored in 67 games, and their puck line record as the favorite is just 26-41. Overall, the team's average scoring margin when favored is just +.5 goals per game, and their puck line record at home is 19-22.

This season, Boston's games are averaging 6 goals per game. Their average over/under line is 5.9. The Bruins currently have an over/under record of 37-44-1.

When looking at their past three road matchups, Toronto has an puck line record of 1-2 while averaging 2 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.

On offense, the Bruins are averaging 3.2 goals per game which is 14th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are 21st in the league. Looking at how the Bruins' offense is performing during power plays, they are 15th in power play goals and 13th in shorthanded goals.

The leading scorer for Boston's offense is David Pastrnak. Coming into the game he has 47 goals, ranking 7th in the NHL. Along with his scoring, he has come up with 63 assists so far.

Defensively, the Bruins come into the season ranked 10th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 30.4 shots per game against Boston. For the season, they are ranked 11th in shutouts, coming in with 5 shutouts.

Goalie Jeremy Swayman gets the start and has made 43 starts this season. His record at this point is 25-10, and his save percentage is 0.776%.