Home Free College Basketball Picks Toledo Rockets vs. Bowling Green Falcons Free Pick 03/12/20

Toledo Rockets vs. Bowling Green Falcons Free Pick 03/12/20

The Mid-American Conference Tourney contest between the Bowling Green Falcons (21-10, 12-6 MAC) and the Toledo Rockets (17-15, 9-10 MAC) will be played at Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 147.5 points with Toledo opening as a 1-point favorite. Tip-off is set for 6:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, March 12, 2020.

Toledo Rockets vs. Bowling Green Falcons Betting Preview

In the Rockets’ last matchup, they won a close one over the Western Michigan Broncos, 76-73, but failed to cover as 9.5-point favorites. With 22 points and 16 rebounds, Toledo’s Willie Jackson had a solid game. Toledo’s 9.6 turnover percentage was their biggest strength over Western Michigan, who had a mark of 14.6. The Rockets’ mark was better than their season average of 15.6. The two teams combined to score 149 points, which came in over the projected point total of 140.5.

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The Falcons were unable to cover as 2-point favorites in their 88-84 loss to the Buffalo Bulls in their last contest. With 20 points, seven rebounds and five assists, Dylan Frye had a solid outing for Bowling Green. Buffalo forced the Falcons into a TO percentage of 17.7 (above their season average of 13.2). Bowling Green, meanwhile, had an offensive rebounding percentage of 41.9 (above their season average of 28.1). The two clubs combined to account for 172 points, which was over the O/U total of 157.5.

Bowling Green could put on a ball-control clinic in this meeting. Bowling Green ranks 14th in the country at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 15.5 percent), while Toledo forces the 49th-fewest turnovers (17.0 percent).

Of Toledo’s 31 games with betting action, 16 have finished over the O/U total, while 15 of Bowling Green’s 29 games have finished over the projected point total. The Falcons have the significant advantage straight up (SU) (21-10 vs. 17-15), but both teams have comparable against the spread (ATS) records. Bowling Green is 10-17-2, while Toledo is 10-20-1 ATS.

Toledo Rockets vs. Bowling Green Falcons Betting Prediction

College Basketball Pick: SU Winner – Toledo, ATS Winner – Toledo, O/U – Under

Notes

Betting Notes:

Bowling Green ranks 24th in assists allowed per game (10.3) while Toledo ranks 67th (11.4).

Bowling Green is 2-9-2 ATS at home, while Toledo is 7-8-1 ATS on the road.

Bettings Trends:

Bowling Green is 1-4 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs in its last five games.

Across its last five outings, Toledo is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.

The Falcons have been outscored by an average of 3.4 points in their last five games. For the season, Bowling Green has defeated opponents by an average of 1.6 points.

During their last five games, the Rockets have scored an average of 73.4 points per game (1.2 below their season average) and allowed an average of 69.0 points per game (1.1 below their season average).

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