NBA coaches constantly stress to their team the importance of taking things one game at a time, which is great in theory, but doesn’t really work out that way in real life. Handicappers will sometimes refer to this as the human element of sports handicapping, which is why everybody isn’t hitting 80% of their plays. Games are played by humans and don’t necessarily play the way their numbers suggest they will.
Over the course of an NBA season, teams have games where it’s more difficult than others to give their best effort, due to emotional letdowns, looking ahead to a game in the future, etc., which is the point of this article, where we’ll look at what happens after playing certain teams and it’s up to the individual handicapper to decide if there’s any importance to the fact that teams are 13-26 ATS after playing the Warriors or are 14-23-1 in totals after playing Sacramento and their fast-paced offense.
We’ll look at a team’s overall ATS record and totals record after playing each team, as well as their numbers depending in they won or lost against that opponent. There are definitely records that stand out, with the record of teams after playing Golden State one of them.
|Opponent||ATS after playing||O/U after playing||ATS after Win||O/U after Win||ATS after Loss||O/U after Loss|
As you can see, definitely some interesting trends that have developed, such as the poor record of teams after playing the Detroit Pistons. Many of them make a bit of sense, while others leave you scratching your head a little bit, such as how teams perform after defeating the Clippers, going 12-4 against the spread, but just 4-12 in totals. When you’re dealing with all of the teams the law of averages say you’re going to have some fluctuation away from the norm, which would be 50%, meaning that some teams will show more ATS wins than losses and vice-versa, while the same holds true with totals in that some teams will show more overs than unders or the other way around, but not quite to the extent that we see.
While I’m not sure I’d use the numbers as the sole means of making a selection, but it’s definitely something to consider when looking at the schedule and coming up with your selections. This week, we’ll also take a look at how teams perform before playing each team, where there are once again, some interesting trends, such as teams going 27-12 in totals the game before playing Memphis.