Texas Tech vs. Texas College Football Betting Pick 11/29/19


The Texas Tech Red Raiders (+9) aren’t traveling far to face the Texas Longhorns at Darrell K. Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium/Jamail Field. The Friday Big 12 tilt is scheduled to be nationally-televised on FOX and the opening kickoff is slated for 12:00 p.m. ET. When these two squads met last year, Texas knocked Texas Tech off by a touchdown 41-34.

Texas Tech vs. Texas Betting Odds 11/29/2019

In this Friday Big 12 game, Texas is getting picked as the big favorite and is currently giving up 9 points. The Red Raiders are also receiving +280 moneyline odds while the Longhorns are -360. If one program can get out in front early on it will result in a solid in-game betting scenario. Vegas has set the over/under (O/U) at 69 points.

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The Red Raiders are down 4.5 units so far and 5-5-1 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an O/U record of 7-4.

The Longhorns are down 1.0 unit this season. The team is 5-6 ATS and has an O/U record of 6-5.

The Red Raiders are 4-7 straight up (SU), including 2-6 SU against conference opponents. The Longhorns are 6-5 SU overall and are also 4-4 SU in conference play.

Each team comes into this contest on a two-game losing streak. The Red Raiders fell to Kansas State 30-27 in a nailbiter where their defense allowed the Wildcats to rush for 126 yards on 37 attempts. Chabastin Taylor had a good day for the Wildcats in that one with 74 yards and a score on three catches. On the offensive side, Jett Duffey completed 28 passes for 334 yards, two scores and two interceptions. SaRodorick Thompson (84 yards on 21 rush attempts, one TD) and the signal-caller Duffey (57 yards on nine carries) led the ground attack. RJ Turner (seven receptions, 141 yards, one TD) and Thompson (seven catches, 28 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.

On November 23, Baylor knocked off this Texas team by a score of 24-10. The Longhorns defense let the Bears rush for 163 yards on 37 attempts, including two rush TDs. Denzel Mims put up a solid showing for Baylor, recording 125 yards on seven catches. For Texas, Sam Ehlinger completed 22-of-37 passes for 200 yards and one interception. Ehlinger (79 rushing yards on 19 attempts) and Keaontay Ingram (86 yards on seven carries) spearheaded the running game while Devin Duvernay (10 receptions, 78 yards) and Roschon Johnson (three catches, 16 yards) led all Texas pass-catchers in the loss.

Texas Tech has run the ball on 44.5 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Texas has a rush percentage of 48.3 percent. The Red Raiders have produced 157 rush yards per game (including 153 per game versus Big 12 opponents) and have 19 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Longhorns are putting up 164 rush yards per game (170 in conference) and have 19 total rushing TDs.

If 2019 results are any indication, then it seems like the Red Raiders ought to own an edge when it comes to applying pressure. Their offensive line has given up just 25 sacks while their D-line logged 28 sacks. The Longhorns, on the other hand, have allowed 27 sacks and their defense has generated only 32 sacks.

The Red Raiders offensive scheme has tallied 318 yards/game in the air overall (309 per game against conference opposition) and has 22 passing TDs so far. The Longhorns have recorded 291 pass yards per game (269.8 against Big 12 foes) and have 27 total pass scores.

Texas Tech has let opponents run for an average of 164 yards and throw for 304 yards per game. The Texas D has allowed 298 yards per game to opposing passers and 146.1 yards per game on the ground. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to the opposition, as the Red Raiders have given up an ANY/A of 7.40 to opposing QBs, while the Longhorns are yielding an ANY/A of 7.53.

Duffey has put up 2,108 pass yards this year. He’s connected on 184-of-276 attempts with 12 passing touchdowns and four interceptions. Duffey’s got a 7.33 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 7.45 over the last two games.

As a group, RJ Turner, Erik Ezukanma and SaRodorick Thompson have combined to account for 559 yards from scrimmage and six touchdowns over the last couple of outings.

Sam Ehlinger has completed 243-of-369 passes for 2,841 yards, 24 TDs and nine INTs for Texas. His ANY/A sits at 6.90 for the year and 5.48 over his past two games.

As a group, Devin Duvernay, Keaontay Ingram and Brennan Eagles have collectively accounted for 445 yards from scrimmage and two touchdowns the last two games.

Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Texas Longhorns Free Prediction

SU Winner – Texas, ATS Winner – Texas, O/U – Over


Betting Notes

The Texas offense has lost four fumbles this season while Texas Tech has let five get away.

The Texas Tech defensive unit has 23 sacks on the year while Texas has 18.

Texas Tech has averaged 3.7 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.3 over its last two.

Texas has averaged 4.9 yards per carry over its last three games and 4.3 over its last two.

In its last three games, Texas is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.

The Over/Under for Texas Tech’s previous game was set at 55.5. The over cashed in the team’s 30-27 defeat to Kansas State.

Over its last three matches, Texas Tech is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

The Over/Under for Texas’ previous matchup going into it was 58. The under cashed in the 24-10 loss to Baylor.

Texas Tech has lost six of its last seven games SU, with a 21-point victory over West Virginia on November 9th accounting for the only win over that stretch.

Texas has dropped four of its last five games SU, with a three-point triumph over Kansas State on November 9th accounting for its lone win over that span.