The Big 12 Conference Tourney meeting between the Texas Tech Red Raiders (18-13, 9-9 Big 12) and the Texas Longhorns (19-12, 9-9 Big 12) will be played at Sprint Center. Texas Tech opened as a 5.5-point favorite, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 125.5 points. Tip-off is scheduled for 12:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, March 12, 2020, and it can be seen on ESPN2.
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Texas Longhorns ATS Preview
In the Red Raiders’ last game, they fell to the No. 1 Kansas Jayhawks, 66-62. They failed to cover as 3-point underdogs. Texas Tech’s Davide Moretti had a solid performance, leading both teams in scoring with 18 points on 6-for-14 shooting. Kansas held the Red Raiders to an offensive rebounding percentage of 22.0 (below their season average of 28.2). Texas Tech, on the other hand, had a turnover percentage of 9.4 (better than their season average of 17.9). The two teams combined to put up 128 points, which finished under the O/U total of 134.
The Longhorns were unable to cover as 4-point favorites in their 81-59 loss to the Oklahoma State Cowboys in their last matchup. Kai Jones was the game’s leading scorer with 20 points on 8-for-12 shooting. Oklahoma State had an effective field goal percentage of 0.745 (above their season average of 0.469). Texas, on the other hand, forced the Cowboys into a turnover percentage of 20.3 (above their season average of 17.0). The two squads combined to score 140 points, which was over the O/U total of 128.5.
Texas might struggle to find the bottom of the net as they face off against one of the NCAA’s best defenses. Texas Tech currently ranks 16th in defensive efficiency while the Longhorns rank 294th in offensive efficiency.
Of Texas Tech’s 30 games with betting action, 17 have finished over the projected point total, while 17 of Texas’ 31 games have finished under the projected point total. Both teams have respectable straight up (SU) records (18-13 for Texas Tech; 19-12 for Texas), but the Longhorns hold a slight advantage against the spread (ATS). Texas is 14-17 ATS, while the Red Raiders are 13-17.
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Texas Longhorns Betting Prediction
College Basketball Prediction: SU Winner – Texas Tech, ATS Winner – Texas Tech, O/U – Under
The Longhorns are fifth in the NCAA with 15.2 three pointers allowed per game while the Red Raiders are 60th with 19.4 three pointers allowed per game.
Texas Tech ranks 239th in rebounds per game (33.5) while Texas ranks 279th (31.7).
Texas Tech ranks 25th in assists per game (15.4) while Texas ranks 227th (11.6).
The Red Raiders rank 46th in steals per game (7.7) while the Longhorns rank 198th (5.5).
Texas ranks 47th in blocks per game (4.3) while Texas Tech ranks 112th in blocks allowed per game (3.2).
Texas is 4-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders in its last five games.
Over its last five games, Texas Tech is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
The Longhorns’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 2.0, up from 0.9 for the season.
During their last five games, the Red Raiders have scored an average of 65.2 points per game (6.7 below their season average) and allowed an average of 65.4 points per game (1.9 above their season average).