Texas State vs. No. 23 Appalachian State College Football Betting Pick 11/23/19


The Texas State Bobcats (+30) are heading northeast to battle their SBC nemesis No. 23 Appalachian State Mountaineers at Kidd Brewer Stadium. This afternoon matchup is scheduled to start at 2:30 p.m. ET and fans can catch it live by tuning in to ESPN+.

Texas State vs. No. 23 Appalachian State Betting Odds 11/23/2019

Appalachian State is the heavy favorite and is currently giving up 30 points to Texas State. If the Bobcats get ahead early on it’ll create a nice live betting opportunity. The over/under has been set at 51.5 points.

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Sharp bettors have been hammering the under, as this game’s total initially opened at 53.

The Bobcats are 3-7 straight up (SU), including 2-4 SU against conference opponents. The Mountaineers are 9-1 SU overall and 5-1 SU in conference play. The less-than-stellar Bobcats are 0-7-2 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 3.0 units this season. The team has posted an O/U record of 4-5.

The Mountaineers have gained 2.0 units this year. They’re 7-3 ATS and have an even O/U record of 5-5.

The Bobcats are trying to bounce back after a 63-27 loss to Troy last week where the defense allowed the Trojans to pass for 368 yards and six touchdowns while rushing for 103 yards and two scores. Jabir Daughtry-Frye posted a productive day for the Trojans in that one with 35 rushing yards and a score on nine attempts, along with 46 yards on two catches. On the offensive side, Tyler Vitt completed 29-of-44 passes for 263 yards, two touchdowns and four interceptions. Anthony D. Taylor (47 rushing yards on 13 attempts) led the running attack in the loss. Hutch White (seven receptions, 80 yards, one TD) and Javen Banks (five catches, 66 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties.

Appalachian State is coming off of a lopsided 56-27 win over Georgia State. The Mountaineers defense allowed the Panthers to rush for 186 yards on 31 attempts, including two rush TDs. Destin Coates was a bright spot in the loss for Georgia State, accounting for 97 rushing yards and a score on seven attempts. For Appalachian State, Zac Thomas completed 19-of-31 passes for 256 yards, four touchdowns and one interception. Darrynton Evans (131 rushing yards on 18 attempts, one TD) and Raykwon Anderson (48 yards on 10 carries, one TD) handled the ground game in the win as Corey Sutton (eight receptions, 173 yards, three TDs) and Malik Williams (six catches, 45 yards) led the receiving attack.

Texas State has run the ball on 43.3 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Appalachian State has a rush percentage of 60.5 percent. The Bobcats have produced 83 rush yards/game (including 108 per game against Sun Belt opponents) and have eight scores via handoffs this year. The Mountaineers are putting up 224 rush yards per contest (238 in conference) and have 25 total rushing TDs.

It appears that the Mountaineers should own the advantage when it comes to effectiveness in the ground game, as their running backs has logged 5.3 yards per carry while their defense has allowed 4.2 YPC to opponents. The Bobcats have rushed for 2.9 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 4.7 to opponents.

The Bobcats have logged 245 yards/game in the air overall (227 per game against conference opposition) and have 13 passing TDs so far. The Mountaineers have recorded 202 pass yards per outing (223.2 against SBC competition) and have 20 total pass scores.

On the defensive side of the ball, Texas State has allowed 210 rush yards and 205 pass yards per game. Appalachian State has been a bit better than that, giving up 152.3 rushing yards per game and 178.4 to opponents in the air. The Mountaineers are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 4.73 to opposing QBs, while the Bobcats have given up a 7.04 ANY/A.

Vitt has amassed 778 pass yards on the year, and has connected on 83-of-131 attempts with five passing touchdowns and 11 interceptions. Vitt has a 2.43 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 5.98 over the past two games.

Zac Thomas has produced 1,822 yards, 18 TDs and four INTs for Appalachian State. His ANY/A stands at 7.28 for the season and 6.80 over his past two games.

These two programs met last year with the final result being a 38-7 victory for Appalachian State.

Texas State Bobcats vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers Free Pick

SU Winner – Appalachian State, ATS Winner – Texas State, O/U – Over


Team Betting Notes

The Appalachian State defense has registered twice as many sacks as Texas State this season (22 to 11).

The Appalachian State offense has lost one fumble in 2019 while Texas State has lost four.

The Bobcats offense has registered six pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Mountaineers have put up nine such plays.

The Texas State defense has allowed four pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Appalachian State has given up zero such plays.

The Texas State offense has created 11 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Appalachian State has created 27 such runs.

Both defenses have allowed 14 rushing plays of 20+ yards. The Bobcats have given up 48 running plays of 10+ yards while the Mountaineers have given up 47 such plays.

The Over/Under for Appalachian State’s previous match was set at 61.5. The over cashed in the 56-27 triumph over Georgia State.

Over its last three matchups, Appalachian State is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

Over its last three games, Texas State is 0-3 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

The Over/Under for Texas State’s last game was set at 64.5. The over cashed in the team’s 63-27 loss to Troy.

Texas State has averaged 3.0 yards per rush attempt over its last three outings and 3.2 over its last two.

Appalachian State has averaged 4.5 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.3 over its past two.

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