Home College Basketball Free College Basketball Picks Texas State Bobcats vs. UT Arlington Mavericks ATS Odds Pick 02/28/20

Texas State Bobcats vs. UT Arlington Mavericks ATS Odds Pick 02/28/20

The Texas State Bobcats (19-10, 12-6 SBC) will travel to College Park Center to go head-to-head against the UT Arlington Mavericks (13-16, 9-9 SBC) in their home finale. Action begins at 9 p.m. ET on Friday, February 28, 2020, and it can be seen on ESPN2.

Texas State Bobcats vs. UT Arlington Mavericks Free Preview

The Bobcats beat the Georgia State Panthers in their last outing, 86-76. With 18 points and nine rebounds, Texas State’s Nijal Pearson put together a good performance. Texas State dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a fantastically low turnover percentage of 5.1 (better than their season average of 14.9) and a free throw rate of 0.387 (above their season average of 0.272). For those same stats, Georgia State was 15.7 and 0.155, respectively.

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In the Mavericks’ previous matchup, they were topped by the Georgia Southern Eagles, 81-61. Jabari Narcis led UT Arlington in scoring with 19 points on 7-for-11 shooting. Georgia Southern did an excellent job of making free throws (17-23; 73.9 percent). UT Arlington, meanwhile, had a much better turnover percentage (12.2 vs. 18.2).

These two squads have already met once this season. The Mavericks won 64-62. UT Arlington had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (32.3 vs. 21.9). Texas State, on the other hand, had a better turnover percentage (18.8 vs. 23.1). Pearson was the top overall scorer in the game with 26 points.

Based on historical performance heading into this one, ball protection could play a key role in this matchup. UT Arlington commits the 36th-fewest miscues in the NCAA (turnover percentage of 16.7 percent), while the disruptive defense of Texas State forces the 36th-most (opponents’ turnover percentage of 22.6 percent).

Texas State at UT Arlington ATS Prediction

Pick: SU Winner – Texas State, ATS Winner – Texas State, O/U – Over

Notes

Betting Notes:

The Bobcats allow the 20th-fewest steals per game (5.0) while the Mavericks rank 22nd (5.1).

UT Arlington ranks 59th in three pointers attempted per game (24.9) while Texas State ranks 303rd (15.9).

The Bobcats rank 70th in rebounds allowed per game (33.0) while the Mavericks rank 242nd (37.9).

Texas State ranks 44th in assists allowed per game (10.9) while UT Arlington ranks 150th (12.8).

Bettings Trends:

The Mavericks have been outscored by an average of 1.0 point in their last five games. For the season, UT Arlington has defeated opponents by an average of 2.0 points.

During their last five games, the Bobcats have scored an average of 71.2 points per game (1.7 below their season average) and allowed an average of 64.2 points per game (0.5 above their season average).

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