Getting the start for the Rangers (90-72, 40-41 away) will be Nathan Eovaldi against Framber Valdez for the Astros (90-72, 39-42 home). Today marks game two of their series, with the Rangers currently holding the 1-0 lead. Read on to see my best bet for this Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros matchup.

TEXAS RANGERS VS HOUSTON ASTROS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Texas Rangers +103

This game will be played at Minute Maid Park at 4:37 ET on Monday, October 16th.

WHY BET THE TEXAS RANGERS:

  • The Astros come into this matchup on a two game home losing streak.
  • On the road, the Rangers have picked up five straight victories.
  • Framber Valdez has struggled of late, coming in with an ERA of 9.09 over his last five starts.

TEXAS RANGERS ON A RUNLINE WIN STREAK

So far this season, the Rangers have a series record of 32-19-2 and overall record of 90-72. This mark has Texas placed 1st in the AL West. On the road, they have a below .500 record of 40-41.

The Texas Rangers will turn to starter Nathan Eovaldi, who has an impressive 12-5 record on the season. In 27 appearances, he has a 3.62 ERA and 8.25 K/9 rate. His FIP stands at 3.88 and his OBP is .289.

The Rangers emerged victorious in Nathan Eovaldi’s last start, besting the Orioles 7-1. The right-hander worked seven frames, surrendering five hits and one earned run to notch a win on his ledger.

Having gone deep 18 times in their last ten games, the Rangers are 2nd in that span. At 5.4 runs per game, Texas is 3rd in the league. This figure has come on a team batting average of .263 while hitting a total of 233 home runs (3rd).

Adolis García is the Rangers’ top slugger in 2023, leading the team with 39 home runs and 107 RBIs. His slugging percentage currently stands at an impressive .508.

WILL THE HOUSTON ASTROS TAKE CARE OF BUSINESS AT HOME?

On a record of 90-72, the Astros come into today’s game 2nd in the AL West. When playing at home, they are 39-42 and 51-30 on the road. Houston has played in 52 series thus far, and have gone 28-19-5.

Framber Valdez has made 32 appearances in 2023, with a .360 slugging percentage allowed and a 1.13 WHIP. His overall record stands at 12-11, with an ERA of 3.46 and 200 strikeouts on the season. He averages 9.09 strikeouts per nine innings, and his record is 8-3 on the road and 4-9 at home; his ERA is 3.80 away from home and 4.49 when playing in front of his hometown crowd.

Framber Valdez experienced a tough outing against the Twins, yielding five runs on seven hits in 4 1/3 innings, resulting in a loss for the Astros.

The Astros have been one of the top power lineups in the league of late, having hit 11 home runs over their last ten games. Compared to other clubs, this is 8th best in that span. For the season, they are ranked 6th in home runs and 6th in slugging percentage. Overall, Houston is averaging 5.1 runs per game (5th).

Over the Astros’ past five contests, José Abreu has been a force at the plate, leading the team in hits and batting .383. On the season, Abreu is hitting .237 with 90 RBIs.