Texas A&M vs. No. 1 LSU College Football Betting Pick 11/30/19

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The Texas A&M Aggies (+17) are flying east to face their in-conference nemesis No. 1 LSU Tigers at Tiger Stadium. The game is scheduled to kick off at 7:00 p.m. ET and fans can witness the action live on ESPN.

Texas A&M vs. top-ranked LSU Betting Odds 11/30/2019

LSU is favored by 17 points in this SEC game. The Aggies are currently being given +780 moneyline odds while the Tigers are -1400. This SEC matchup should have some live betting possibilities. The over/under is set at 61 points.

This game’s line opened at -17. The O/U has not changed since it was initially set at 61.

The Aggies are 7-4 straight up (SU), including 4-3 SU against conference opponents. The Tigers are 11-0 SU overall and 7-0 SU in conference play. The Aggies are 6-4-1 against the spread (ATS) and are down 1.9 units so far in 2019. The team has posted an O/U record of 5-6.

The Tigers have been a nice surprise for moneyline bettors this season, gaining 5.8 units. The team is 6-4-1 ATS and the over has hit in eight of its games.

The Aggies look to bounce back after a 19-13 loss to Georgia last week. Kellen Mond completed 25 passes for 275 yards and one touchdown. The Aggies rushed for just -1 yards as a team in the defeat.

LSU is coming off of a 56-20 win over Arkansas. The defense allowed the Razorbacks to run for 114 yards on 43 rush attempts, along with one rushing TD. Treylon Burks had a productive showing in the defeat, recording 80 yards on three catches for Arkansas. For LSU, Joe Burrow completed 23-of-28 passes for 327 yards and three touchdowns. Clyde Edwards-Helaire (188 yards on six rush attempts, three TDs) spearheaded the ground attack in the win as Edwards-Helaire (seven receptions, 65 yards) and Ja’Marr Chase (six catches, 144 yards, two TDs) led the pass-catching attack.

Each of these squads has a nearly identical (48-52) run-pass ratio on the season. The Aggies have produced 159 rush yards/game (including 137 per game against Southeastern opponents) and have 21 touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Tigers are putting up 174 rushing yards per contest (189 in conference) and have 27 total rush TDs.

It seems like the Tigers may hold an advantage in terms of RB efficiency, as their backfield has logged 5.1 yards per carry while their defense has allowed 3.7 yards per rush attempt to opponents. The Aggies have recorded 4.8 yards per carry while allowing 4.1 YPC to opponents.

The Aggies have tallied 261 yards/game in the air overall (250 per game versus conference opposition) and have 21 passing TDs so far. The Tigers have put up a ridiculous 387 pass yards per outing (370.4 against SEC foes) and have 41 total pass scores.

Defensively, Texas A&M appears to have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed opponents to run for an average of 129 yards and pass for 192 yards per game. LSU has allowed 129.3 yards per game on the ground and 232.7 to opponents in the air. The Aggies are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 4.60 to opponents, while the Tigers have given up a 5.73 ANY/A.

Mond has amassed 2,489 passing yards this year. He’s connected on 215-of-337 attempts with 18 passing touchdowns and six interceptions. Mond’s got a 6.82 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 6.47 over the last two outings.

The Aggies have tried to maintain tempo by putting the ball in the hands of their running backs. Jhamon Ausbon (794 yards, four TDs) has contributed in the passing game lately, but the RB tandem of Isaiah Spiller (674 rush yards, eight rush TDs) and Cordarrian Richardson (232 rush yards, four rush TDs, one receiving TD) have delivered in the offense for Texas A&M.

Joe Burrow has put up 3,525 yards, 36 TDs and four INTs for LSU. His ANY/A sits at 11.33 for the year and 11.93 over his past two games.

The Tigers should also look to control the clock by turning to their backfield. In addition to Clyde Edwards-Helaire (267 receiving yards, one receiving TD), Ja’Marr Chase (1,033 receiving yards and 12 receiving TDs) and Justin Jefferson (925 receiving yards and 10 TDs) have seen plenty of looks recently.

When these two teams faced one another a year ago, Texas A&M got the victory over LSU, 74-72.

Texas A&M Aggies at LSU Tigers Betting Pick

SU Winner – LSU, ATS Winner – LSU, O/U – Over

Notes

Team Betting Trends

The LSU offense has lost five fumbles this season while Texas A&M has let eight get away.

The LSU D has tallied 24 sacks on the year while Texas A&M has 21.

Texas A&M has rushed for 5.5 yards per attempt over its past three contests and 4.8 over its last two.

LSU has averaged 6.9 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 8.8 over its last two.

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