The Southland Conference Tourney matchup between the Northwestern State Demons (14-15, 11-9 SthLnd) and the Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders (14-17, 10-10 SthLnd) will take place at Leonard E. Merrell Center. The Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 142.5 points with Texas A&M-Corpus Christi set as a 1-point favorite. Tip-off is scheduled for 6 p.m. ET on Wednesday, March 11, 2020.
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders vs. Northwestern State Demons Free Preview
The Islanders beat the Houston Baptist Huskies in their last outing, 84-78, but were not able to cover as 8-point favorites. Jordan Hairston was the top scorer from either team with 20 points on 7-for-14 shooting. The Islanders forced 23 turnovers and had an offensive rebounding percentage of 41.2 (above their season average of 30.6). The two teams combined to put up 162 points, which was over the projected point total of 158.5.
The last time the Demons took the floor, they topped the Central Arkansas Bears, 100-85, as 6-point underdogs. Northwestern State was led by Chudier Bile, who recorded 17 points and 15 rebounds. Northwestern State played a nearly perfect game. They had an absurd free throw rate of 0.419 (above their season average of 0.234) and an offensive rebounding percentage of 50.0 (above their season average of 30.9). For those same stats, Central Arkansas recorded marks of 0.171 and 30.0, respectively. The two clubs collectively scored 185 points, which finished well over the O/U total of 155.
It will be a battle of conflicting styles as the fast-breaking Demons (ranked 22nd in the nation in possessions per game) will look to push the more methodical Islanders (261st in possessions per game).
Of Texas A&M-Corpus Christi’s 29 games with betting action, 15 have finished under the O/U total, while 16 of Northwestern State’s 26 games have finished over the projected point total. Both teams have mediocre straight up (SU) records (14-17 for Texas A&M-Corpus Christi; 14-15 for Northwestern State), but the Demons have the advantage against the spread (ATS). Northwestern State is 17-9 ATS, while the Islanders are 12-16-1.
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders vs. Northwestern State Demons ATS Prediction
Basketball Prediction: SU Winner – Northwestern State, ATS Winner – Northwestern State, O/U – Over
The Islanders average 12.6 assists per game, which ranks 164th in the NCAA. The Demons rank 210th in assists allowed per game (14.0).
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi ranks 37th in rebounds allowed per game (31.9) while Northwestern State ranks 247th (38.0).
The Demons rank 36th in blocks per game (4.4) while the Islanders rank 120th (3.1).
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi ranks 163rd in steals per game (5.9) while Northwestern State ranks 223rd in steals allowed per game (8.4).
Northwestern State is 2-3 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under in its last five games.
Across its past five outings, Texas A&M-Corpus Christi is 2-2-1 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
The Demons’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 0.2, down from 0.8 for the season.
During their last five games, the Islanders have scored an average of 75.2 points per game (9.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 72.4 points per game (4.0 above their season average).