Betting on today’s Lions and Islanders game? Catch the action at American Bank Center in Corpus Christi, TX, as the Islanders hosts this showdown at 4:30 ET on ESPN+. This Southland conference matchup has an over/under of 134 points, and Texas A&M-Corpus Christi is favored to win by -10.5 at home vs. Texas A&M-Commerce.


The Pick: Texas A&M-Commerce Lions +10.5

This game will be played at American Bank Center at 4:30 ET on Saturday, February 17th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-69 in favor of the Islanders.
  • Even though we have Texas A&M-Corpus Christi winning straight-up, we like Texas A&M-Commerce at +10.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 134 points, and we like the over with a projected 146 points.

Can Texas A&M-Commerce Deliver Being Underdogs on the Road?

After a loss in their last game, Texas A&M-Commerce has an overall record of 9-16. They have gone 3-9 in Southland Conference games and 6-7 in non-conference games.

On the road this season, the Lions are 2-10, and their average scoring margin is -17.8 points per game. They have lost their last three games on the road.

As the underdog, Texas A&M-Commerce has gone 7-9 against the spread this season. On the road, their ATS mark is 4-8, and they are 0-3 vs. the spread in their last three road games.

Today’s over/under line of 134 is lower than the average over/under line of 141.2 in Texas A&M-Commerce’s games this season. Currently, the over/under record for the Lions is 8-14. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 151 points.

Texas A&M-Commerce is coming off a good offensive performance, putting up 77 points vs. Southeastern Louisiana. This figure is more than their season average of 71.9 points per game. Offensively, the Lions hold a season-long field goal percentage of 41%, placing them 362nd in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 319th in terms of percentage and 28th in three-pointers made.

At present, the Lions’ defense is nationally ranked 215th, allowing 73.9 points per game. Texas A&M-Commerce’s three-point defense is currently 28th in the country at 5.5 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 42.5% of their shots vs. Texas A&M-Commerce.

Will the Islanders Pull Through as the Favored Home Team?

After losing their last two games, Texas A&M-Corpus Christi will look to get back in the win column as they host Texas A&M-Commerce. The Islanders are 14-10 overall and 7-4 in Southland Conference action.

At home this season, Texas A&M-Corpus Christi has gone 4-3, and they are 7-4 when favored. Over their last ten games at home, the Islanders have gone 7-3.

Against the spread, Texas A&M-Corpus Christi has a solid mark of 15-5 this season. At home, their ATS record is 5-2. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Islanders are 7-3 vs. the spread. In their most recent three home games, they have gone 3-0 ATS.

Today’s over/under line of 134 is lower than the average over/under line in Texas A&M-Corpus Christi’s games this season (145.7). So far, 20 of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s line. The average scoring total in their games this season is 139.8 points, but in their last three games, the average scoring total is 139 points.

In contrast to their season average of 74.8 points per game, the Texas A&M-Corpus Christi had a below average performance. They scored 63 points against Nicholls and had a field goal percentage of 38.6%. The team’s top scorer is Garry Clark, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 11.8, while Dian Wright-Forde also carries a PPG average of 10.3 into the game.

This season, the Texas A&M-Corpus Christi defense has been impressive, holding the 52nd position in the country while permitting an average of 66.8 points per contest. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi’s three-point defense is currently 20th in the country at 5.2 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 38.1% of their shots vs. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi.