Home College Basketball Free College Basketball Picks Temple Owls vs. SMU Mustangs Betting Pick 03/12/20

Temple Owls vs. SMU Mustangs Betting Pick 03/12/20

The American Athletic Conference Tournament matchup between the Temple Owls (14-17, 6-12 AAC) and the SMU Mustangs (19-11, 9-9 AAC) will take place at Dickies Arena. The Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 134 points with SMU opening as a 3-point favorite. Action begins at 8 p.m. ET on Thursday, March 12, 2020, and it can be seen on ESPNU.

Temple Owls vs. SMU Mustangs Odds Preview

In the Owls’ last matchup, they lost a close one to the Cincinnati Bearcats, 64-63, but were able to cover as 10.5-point underdogs. With 19 points on 5-for-19 shooting, Quinton Rose led Temple in scoring. Cincinnati had a free throw rate of 0.273 (above their season average of 0.268). Temple, on the other hand, held the Bearcats to an effective field goal percentage of 0.445 (below their season average of 0.505). The two teams combined to put up 127 points, which came in under the O/U total of 137.5.

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The Mustangs failed to cover as 1-point favorites in their 61-60 loss to the South Florida Bulls in their last contest. With 17 points and 11 rebounds, Tyson Jolly had a good game for SMU. South Florida had a turnover percentage of 7.9 (better than their season average of 19.4). SMU, on the other hand, held the Bulls to an offensive rebounding percentage of 25.0 (below their season average of 32.7). The two squads collectively scored 121 points, which was under the O/U total of 128.5.

SMU should have an edge on the offensive glass in this matchup. The Mustangs are among the NCAA’s elite on the offensive glass, ranking 25th in offensive rebounding percentage at 34.1 percent. Meanwhile, Temple ranks 132nd in the NCAA at corralling defensive rebounds with a defensive rebounding percentage of 73.3 percent.

These two teams are complete opposites in terms of the O/U total. Games involving Temple have gone under 64.5 percent of the time, while SMU games have finished over 60.0 percent of the time. The Mustangs have the clear advantage straight up (SU) (19-11 vs. 14-17), but both teams have comparable against the spread (ATS) records. SMU is 13-15-2, while Temple is 13-17-1 ATS.

Temple Owls vs. SMU Mustangs Betting Prediction

Pick: SU Winner – Temple, ATS Winner – Temple, O/U – Under

Notes

Betting Notes:

The Owls rank 46th in steals per game (7.7) while the Mustangs rank 187th in steals allowed per game (7.1).

SMU ranks 121st in blocked shots (3.1 per game) while Temple ranks 177th in blocks allowed per game (4.2).

SMU ranks 51st in rebounds allowed per game (32.4) while Temple ranks 259th (38.1).

The Mustangs average 24.3 three pointers per game, which ranks 72nd in the country. The Owls rank 279th in three pointers allowed per game (25.0).

SMU averages 15.6 assists per game, which ranks 19th in the country. Temple ranks 191st in assists allowed per game (13.5).

Bettings Trends:

SMU is 0-4-1 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over in its last five games.

Over its past five outings, Temple is 1-3-1 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.

The Mustangs have been outscored by an average of 5.0 points in their last five games. For the season, SMU has defeated opponents by an average of 4.5 points.

During their last five games, the Owls have scored an average of 60.8 points per game (7.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 65.6 points per game (2.3 below their season average).

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