Tampa Bay Lightning vs Boston Bruins Betting Pick & Prediction 2/13/24

Looking to win big? The Lightning and Bruins face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Bruins are hosting the game at TD Garden in Boston, MA. The over/under for this matchup is currently set at 6 goals and the Bruins are the -1.5 favorite to win at home vs. the Lightning.

TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING VS BOSTON BRUINS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Boston Bruins -1.5

This game will be played at TD Garden at 7:00 ET on Tuesday, February 13th.

WHY BET THE BOSTON BRUINS:

• Even though they are considered 1.5-goal underdogs, our projection points to a 4-3 win for the Lightning.
• We like the Lightning on the moneyline (+140)
• The Lightning are also our pick on the spread at +1.5

Do the Lightning Have What it Takes to Win as Road Underdogs?

As the season has progressed, the Tampa Bay Lightning have fallen to 6th place in the Eastern Conference standings with a record of 28-20-5. Against teams in the East, the Lightning have gone 13-14, and in the Atlantic Division, they have gone 5-8. On the road, Tampa Bay has gone 11-15-2.

Over their last ten games, the Lightning have gone 7-3, and they have gone 3-2 over their last five games. They are 1-2 in their last three games and have lost two straight games as the underdog.

As the underdog, the Lightning have gone 13-10 vs. the puck line this season, including a mark of 7-3 over their last ten games. Overall, Tampa Bay's puck line record is 27-26, and they have 20 wins by multiple goals.

On the road, the Lightning have gone just 11-17 vs. the puck line this season, including a mark of 4-6 over their last ten road games. So far, their average scoring margin on the road is -.8 goals per game.

This season, Tampa Bay's games have an average of 6.7 goals per game. The average over/under number for the season is 6.5. The Lightning come in with an over/under performance of 24-25-4.

In their last three games away from home, the Lightning have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 1-2 vs the spread. The team's offense averaged 2 goals per game in these contests.

Offensively, the Lightning come into the game at 3.4 goals per contest placing 4th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are in 16th position in the league. In terms of the Lightning's offense during power plays, they are 1st in power play goals and 27th in shorthanded goals.

Tampa Bay's leading goal scorer is Nikita Kucherov. So far this season, he has 33 goals, placing him 4th in the NHL. Along with his scoring, he has come up with 56 assists so far.

In terms of defense, the Bruins head into the game ranked 7th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 31 shots per game against Boston. So far, they are 4th in shutouts, achieving 4 shutouts.

Entering the game, goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy has started 28 games this season. His current record stands at 17-11, and his save percentage is 0.75%.

Is A Home Victory Likely for the Favored Bruins?

As the top team in the Eastern Conference, the Bruins have a record of 32-11-9 and have gone 7-3 in their last ten games. They have been favored in 46 of their 52 games this season and have gone 28-11-7 in those contests.

At home this year, Boston has gone 17-6-3, and in the Atlantic Division, they have a record of 12-5. In their last five games, the Bruins have gone 3-2, and they have gone 1-2 in their last three.

At home this season, the Bruins have gone 15-11 vs. the puck line, and they have an average scoring margin of +1.2 goals per game. Overall, Boston has 24 wins by multiple goals and 8 wins by one goal. In their last 10 games at home, the Bruins have gone 6-4 vs. the puck line.

So far, the Bruins have been favored in 46 games, and their puck line record when favored is 22-24. Across their last 3 games, Boston has gone just 1-2 vs. the puck line, and their average scoring differential when favored is +.8 goals per game.

On average, Boston's games have finished with 6 goals per game. The season's average over/under line stands at 5.9. In total, the Bruins come in with an over/under record of 25-27-0.

Through their last three road games, Tampa Bay has an puck line record of just 1-2. However, their overall record was 1-2 while averaging 2 goals per game.

On offense, the Bruins are averaging 3.4 goals per game which is 6th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are 20th in the league. This year, the Bruins have recorded a 14-0 record in games where they outshoot their opponent. For games with fewer shots on goal, they have a 17-10 record.

The leading scorer for Boston's offense is David Pastrnak. Coming into the game he has 33 goals, ranking 3rd in the NHL. Along with his scoring, he has come up with 42 assists so far.

Defensively, the Bruins are currently 7th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 31 shots per game against Boston. They also are 4th in shutouts, coming in with 4 shutouts.

Goalie Linus Ullmark comes into the game having made 24 starts this season. So far, his record is 16-6 and he has a save percentage of 0.76%.