South Florida Bulls at SMU Mustangs Free Pick 01/01/20


AAC foes will collide when the SMU Mustangs (9-2) go head-to-head against the South Florida Bulls (7-6) at Moody Coliseum. Tip-off is set for 5 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 1, 2020, and it can be seen on ESPNU.

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South Florida Bulls at SMU Mustangs Odds Preview

The Bulls edged the Florida Atlantic Owls in their last matchup, 60-58. Ezacuras Dawson III was the top scorer from either team with 18 points on 7-for-9 shooting. The Bulls had a free throw rate of 0.222 (above their season average of 0.209) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.556 (above their season average of 0.485).

In the Mustangs’ last matchup, they beat the Georgia State Panthers, 85-76. SMU was lifted by Isiaha Mike, who recorded 15 points and 12 rebounds. SMU played a nearly perfect game. They had an absurd free throw rate of 0.393 (above their season average of 0.255) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.563 (above their season average of 0.514). Georgia State was 0.183 and 0.444, respectively, for those same stats.

This is the first time these teams will clash this year, after splitting two games last season. The Mustangs won the last matchup 77-71. SMU had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.640 vs. 0.400). South Florida, on the other hand, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (39.5 vs. 11.5).

Half-court execution will be at a premium when a pair of the NCAA’s slowest-paced teams square off. SMU ranks 266th in possessions per game (68.2) and South Florida is 323rd (66.1).

South Florida at SMU Odds Prediction

Prediction: SU Winner – Smu, ATS Winner – SMU, O/U – Under


Betting Notes:

The Bulls rank 15th in blocks allowed per game (2.2) while the Mustangs rank 119th (3.7).

South Florida ranks 33rd in steals per game (8.6) while SMU ranks 125th (6.4).

SMU ranks 30th in assists per game (16.2) while South Florida ranks 239th (9.7).

The Mustangs rank 20th in rebounds per game (41.1) while the Bulls rank 210th (33.8).

South Florida ranks 70th in three pointers allowed per game (20.2) while SMU ranks 249th (26.9).

Bettings Trends:

The Mustangs’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 7.0, down from 10.2 for the season.

During their last five games, the Bulls have scored an average of 67.6 points per game (3.5 above their season average) and allowed an average of 61.0 points per game (0.1 below their season average).

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