Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Free Pick 09/21/19

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The Seattle Mariners will be taking the field against the Baltimore Orioles. This AL matchup starts at 7:05 p.m. ET and fans can catch it on either RTNW or MASN.

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Seattle Mariners at Baltimore Orioles Odds

The Mariners are 65-89 SU and have gone 77-76 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 13.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 9.0 units ATS. Seattle has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Orioles, on the other hand, are 50-104 SU and 63-90 ATS. They’ve lost 22.2 units for moneyline bettors and 33.6 units ATS. Baltimore has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven.

Orioles games have an over/under record of 78-63-12 in 2019. Mariners games have gone over 84 times, gone under 58 times and pushed on 11 occasions.

The southpaw Justus Sheffield will get the start for the visiting Mariners. Sheffield (0-1, 5.40 ERA) has racked up 30 punchouts in 26.2 innings so far. He has yet to face the Orioles this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Orioles are putting the ball in the right hand of Asher Wojciechowski (3-8, 5.38 ERA, 1.32 WHIP), who has 70 punchouts and 25 walks this season. Wojciechowski did not record any MLB pitching stats in 2018.

Seattle’s pitchers have allowed 5.7 runs per game and its starters own a 5.31 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 6.97 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.97, along with a WHIP of 1.45.

The Mariners offense has slashed .240/.321/.432 on its way to 4.8 runs scored per game this year, including 5.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

Seattle’s offense has been fueled by catcher Omar Narvaez and right fielder Mallex Smith. Narvaez is slashing .283/.356/.471 with 22 home runs, 55 RBIs and 63 runs scored. Smith is hitting .232 with six homers, 37 RBIs, 68 runs and 44 steals.

For the home team, Baltimore’s pitchers have given up 6.1 runs per game overall this year. Its starting pitching staff has a 5.66 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 7.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.95 ERA, 1.54 WHIP and 8.7 K/9.

Baltimore’s hitters are putting up 4.4 runs per contest, including 5.3 per game over its last 10 games and 5.2 per game over their last five. The team has hit .275/.338/.500 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that span.

The Orioles’ offense has been led by second baseman Jonathan Villar and outfielder Trey Mancini. Villar is slashing .277/.344/.462 with 23 home runs, 69 RBIs, 106 runs and 37 steals, and Mancini’s line is .287/.357/.535 with 34 homers, 93 RBIs and 101 runs.

The Mariners have lost 1.0 units and are 57-48 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over’s hit in 58 of those games, compared to 38 that’ve gone under against lefty starters.

Seattle Mariners at Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Notes

The over has cashed in four of Baltimore’s last seven games.

Seattle has posted 22.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 26.4 over its last five.

The Mariners have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games. The Orioles have hit 15 over their last 10.

The Mariners have a team OPS of .753 this season and an OPS of .744 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Orioles’ OPS sits at .725 overall and .714 versus righties.

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