Seattle Mariners at Baltimore Orioles Betting Pick 09/20/19

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The Seattle Mariners are heading east to play the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET and this AL showdown will be shown on RTNW and MASN.

Seattle Mariners at Baltimore Orioles Odds

The Orioles are 49-104 straight up (SU) and 63-89 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 21.2 units for moneyline bettors and 32.3 units ATS. The Mariners have gone 65-88 SU this year and are 76-76 against the spread. They’ve lost 14.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 10.0 units ATS.

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Baltimore games have had an over/under record of 77-63-12 in 2019. The Mariners have also been a solid over bet with a total record of 83-58-11.

The right-handed Felix Hernandez is the projected starter for the visiting Mariners. Hernandez is 1-6 with a 6.31 ERA and 51 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Orioles this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (1-0, 4.50 ERA and four strikeouts across six innings).

The Orioles are putting the ball in the hands of lefty Richard Bleier (3-0, 5.63 ERA), who has 24 punchouts and eight walks, along with a 1.40 WHIP. Bleier is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA against Seattle this year.

Seattle’s pitchers have allowed 5.7 runs per game and its starters own a 5.29 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 6.98 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.99, along with a WHIP of 1.44.

Mariners hitters have slashed .241/.322/.433 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (5-0 SU).

Seattle’s offensive production has been led by catcher Omar Narvaez and outfielder Mallex Smith. Narvaez is slashing .285/.359/.476 with 22 home runs, 55 RBIs and 63 runs scored. Smith (.232/.306/.343) has produced six homers, 37 RBIs, 68 runs and 44 stolen bases.

In the other dugout, Baltimore’s pitching staff has yielded 6.2 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have an ERA of 5.65, a WHIP of 1.42 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.0. The bullpen has a 6.00 ERA, 1.55 WHIP and 8.8 K/9.

Baltimore’s offense has put up 4.4 runs per contest, including 5.1 per game over its last 10 games and 5.8 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .286/.353/.492 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

Second baseman Jonathan Villar and right fielder Trey Mancini have led the Orioles’ hitters this year. Villar is hitting .277/.343/.462 with 23 home runs, 69 RBIs, 105 runs and 36 stolen bases, and Mancini’s line sits at .286/.356/.536 with 34 homers, 93 RBIs and 100 runs.

The Orioles have lost 13.8 units and are 39-55 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 47 of those games, compared to 39 that’ve gone under against righties.

Seattle Mariners at Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Notes

The over has hit in three of Baltimore’s last seven games.

The Orioles have dropped five of their last six games SU.

Baltimore has recorded 23.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 27.0 over its last five.

The Mariners have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games. The Orioles have hit 14 over their last 10.

The Mariners have a team OPS of .755 this season and an OPS of .758 when facing left-handed pitchers. The Orioles’ OPS stands at .724 overall and .744 against southpaws.

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