San Jose State vs. Nevada College Football Betting Pick 10/12/19


The San Jose State Spartans (+2) are making a trip east to face their MWC foe Nevada Wolf Pack at Clarence Mackay Stadium. This pivotal afternoon game gets going at 4:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch it live by tuning in to ATSN.

San Jose State at Nevada Betting Odds 10/12/2019

Nevada is giving up 2 points in this MWC game. The Spartans are currently being given +100 moneyline odds while the Wolf Pack are -120. The over/under is set at 57.5 points, and multiple solid live betting possibilities could present themselves during this matchup.

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Odds have shifted from where they were originally posted. The opening line was -4, while the game’s over/under has yet to move after it was set initially at 57.5.

The Spartans are 3-2 straight up (SU), including 1-1 SU against conference opponents. The Wolf Pack are 3-2 SU overall and 0-1 SU in conference play. The Spartans have gained 0.0 units so far and are 3-2 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an O/U record of 1-4.

The Wolf Pack have been a pleasant surprise for moneyline bettors this season, gaining 4.0 units. The team is 2-3 ATS and has an O/U record of 3-2.

The Spartans hope to make it two in a row 32-21 win over New Mexico last week. Josh Love completed 24 passes for 405 yards and two touchdowns. Nick Nash (only 29 rushing yards on nine attempts, one TD) led the running attack while Tre Walker (seven receptions, 130 yards) and DeJon Packer (three catches, 74 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.

Two weeks ago, Hawaii knocked off this Nevada crew by a score of 54-3. The Wolf Pack defense allowed the Rainbow Warriors to pass for 373 yards and five touchdowns while rushing for 139 yards. Jason-Matthew Sharsh put up a good showing for Hawaii, recording 123 yards and a score on nine catches. As a group, the Wolf Pack collectively completed 18-of-31 passes for 105 yards and two interceptions. Cristian Solano went 11-for-17 for 59 yards and one interception while Carson Strong was seven-of-14 for 46 yards and one interception. Toa Taua (72 yards on 17 rush attempts) and the signal-caller Solano (32 yards on 10 carries) led the running game while Elijah Cooks (five receptions, 38 yards) and Dominic Christian (three catches, six yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.

San Jose State has run the ball on 43.6 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Nevada has a rush percentage of 50.3 percent. The Spartans have produced 105 rush yards per game (including 75 per game versus Mountain West opponents) and have eight touchdowns on the ground this year. The Wolf Pack are totaling 127 rushing yards per contest and have five total rush TDs.

The Spartans have averaged 310 yards in the air overall (346 per game versus conference opposition) and have nine passing scores so far. The Wolf Pack have produced 204 pass yards per outing and have five total pass TDs.

San Jose State appears to hold the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team’s allowed opponents to rush for an average of 223 yards and pass for 222 yards per game. Nevada has allowed 138.4 yards per game on the ground and 275.4 to opposing teams in the air. The Spartans are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 4.58 to opposing QBs, while the Wolf Pack have allowed an 8.28 ANY/A.

Love has put up 1,220 passing yards this season, and has connected on 93-of-146 attempts with seven passing touchdowns and only one interception. Love’s got a pristine 8.33 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 8.13 over the last two games.

In the hosts’ locker room, Cristian Solano has recorded 59 yards, zero TDs and one INT. Solano’s ANY/A stands at a horrendous -0.10 for the year and 4.49 over his past two outings.

When these two teams faced each other last year, Nevada won by three field goals 21-12.

San Jose State Spartans vs. Nevada Wolf Pack NCAA Tip

SU Winner – Nevada, ATS Winner – Nevada, O/U – Over


Team Betting Trends

The Nevada defensive unit has registered twice as many sacks as San Jose State this season (eight versus four).

The Nevada offense has lost five fumbles this season while San Jose State has lost three.

The Spartans offense has registered four pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Wolf Pack have accounted for one such play.

Both teams have allowed three pass plays of 40 or more yards and 11 pass plays of 30+ yards.

The San Jose State offense has created four rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Nevada has created two such runs.

The Spartans defense has allowed six rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Wolf Pack have given up four such runs.

The O/U for Nevada’s last match going into it was 63.5. The under cashed in the team’s 54-3 defeat to Hawaii.

Over its last three matches, Nevada is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

In its last three contests, San Jose State is 3-0 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

The O/U for San Jose State’s last game was set at 69.5. The under cashed in the team’s 32-21 win over New Mexico.

San Jose State has averaged 2.8 yards per carry across its past three contests and 2.3 over its last two.

Nevada has averaged 3.9 yards per carry over its last three outings and 4.0 over its past two.

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