San Jose State at Air Force College Football Betting Pick 9/27/19


The San Jose State Spartans (+19) are heading east to visit the Air Force Falcons at Falcon Stadium. This Friday showdown kicks off at 8:00 p.m. ET and interested parties can watch the action on CBS Sports Network.

San Jose State vs. Air Force Betting Odds 9/27/2019

The spread for this MWC game is placed at 19 points in favor of Air Force. The Spartans are currently being given +830 moneyline odds while the Falcons are -1550. This MWC tilt could have multiple live betting scenarios. The over/under is set at 55.5 points.

Sharp bettors have been leaning toward the Spartans. The line initially opened at -21 and the game’s total was originally 55.

The Spartans are 2-1 straight up (SU) and they haven’t faced any MWC competition yet. The Falcons are 2-1 SU overall and 0-1 SU in conference play. The Spartans have gained 0.0 units so far and are 1-2 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a good under bet and have recorded an Over-Under mark of 0-3.

The Falcons are up 0.3 units this season. The team is 2-1 ATS and has an O/U record of 1-2.

These two MWC foes did not get a chance to play one another a year ago.

The Spartans are coming off a 31-24 victory over Arkansas last week. The defense allowed the Razorbacks to pass for 356 yards and three touchdowns while rushing for 131 yards. Mike Woods had a productive day for the Razorbacks in that one with 115 yards and a score on four catches. On the offense, Josh Love completed 32-of-49 passes for 402 yards, two scores and one interception. DeJon Packer (40 rushing yards on eight attempts, one TD) led the ground attack while Tre Walker (12 receptions, 161 yards) and Isaiah Hamilton (five catches, 46 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.

Air Force just dropped a 30-19 game to Boise State. The defensive secondary allowed the Broncos to air it out for 260 yards and two touchdowns. CT Thomas had a productive showing in the win, recording 119 yards on five catches for Boise State. For Air Force, Donald Hammond III completed six-of-11 passes for 83 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Hammond III (62 yards on 12 rush attempts, one TD) and Kadin Remsberg (59 yards on 10 carries) mounted the running game as Geraud Sanders (five receptions, 86 yards, one TD) and Benjamin Waters (two catches, 19 yards) led all Air Force pass-catchers in the loss.

San Jose State has run the ball on 42.9 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Air Force has a rush percentage of 86.6 percent. The Spartans have produced 125 rush yards per game and have six touchdowns on the ground this year. The Falcons are totaling 316 rush yards per contest and have 10 total rushing TDs.

If 2019 results are any indication, then it seems like the Falcons should hold an edge in terms of RB effectiveness, as their backfield has generated 5.6 yards per carry while the defense has allowed a YPC of 3.0 to opponents. The Spartans have registered 4.3 yards per carry while allowing 3.9 yards per rush attempt to opponents.

The Spartans have averaged 286 yards in the air overall and have five passing TDs so far. The Falcons have recorded 103 pass yards per game and have three total pass scores.

San Jose State has let opponents run for an average of 166 yards and pass for 272 yards per game. Air Force has been a bit better than that, allowing 91.7 rushing yards per game and 188.7 to opposing teams in the air. The Spartans are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 4.52 to opposing QBs, while the Falcons have allowed a 5.78 ANY/A.

Love is up to 626 pass yards on the year, and has completed 53-of-80 attempts with four passing touchdowns and one interception. Love has a 7.89 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 7.26 over the last two games.

Donald Hammond III has accounted for 83 yards, one TD and one INT for Air Force. His ANY/A stands at a less-than-stellar 4.58 for the season and 8.54 across his past two games.

San Jose State Spartans vs. Air Force Falcons NCAA Pick

SU Winner – Air Force, ATS Winner – San Jose State, O/U – Over


Team Betting Notes

The Spartans have made five pass plays of 30+ yards while the Falcons have accounted for four such plays.

The San Jose State defense has allowed two pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Air Force has given up one such play.

The San Jose State offense has created four rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Air Force has created three such runs.

Both teams have allowed zero rushing plays of 20 or more yards. The Spartans have given up 17 running plays of 10+ yards while the Falcons have given up six such plays.

The Air Force defense has created six sacks on the year while San Jose State has four.

As a team, San Jose State has averaged 3.9 yards per carry over its last two games.

Air Force has averaged 5.1 yards per carry over its last two.

Over its last three matchups, Air Force is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

The Over/Under for San Jose State’s last game was set at 61. The under cashed in the team’s 31-24 win over Arkansas.

In its last three matchups, San Jose State is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.

The O/U for Air Force’s last match was 53. The under cashed in the 30-19 defeat to Boise State.


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