San Jose Sharks vs. Detroit Red Wings Betting Pick 12/31/19

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Tomas Hertl, Logan Couture, and the San Jose Sharks will face off against Tyler Bertuzzi, Dylan Larkin, and the Detroit Red Wings at Little Caesars Arena in an East-West matchup. Fox Sports Detroit will air the matchup, and the action gets underway at 7:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, December 31.

San Jose Sharks vs. Detroit Red Wings Odds

Detroit (+140) is entering this one as the underdog to San Jose (-160). The Over/Under (O/U), set at an even 6 goals, initially opened at -115 for the over and -105 for the under. That line’s shifted, however, and it now sits at -120 to take the over and +100 to take the under.

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San Jose is 17-23 straight up (SU) and has lost 9.5 units for moneyline bettors this year. Through 40 regular season outings, 19 of its games have gone over the total, while another 19 have gone under and just two have pushed. As the away team this season, the Sharks are 6-11 SU.

San Jose has converted on just 14.7 percent of its power play opportunities this year, a mark that’s ranked 30th in the NHL. Having said that, it has the second-strongest penalty kill in the league, and the team’s successfully killed off a whopping 87.7 percent of its penalties..

Averaging 24.8 saves per game with a .891 save percentage, Martin Jones (13-16-1) has been the best option in goal for San Jose this year. If San Jose decides to rest him, however, the team could go with Aaron Dell (4-11-2 record, .900 save percentage, 3.15 goals against average).

Detroit is 9-31 straight up (SU) and has lost 15.9 units for moneyline bettors this year. Through 40 regular season outings, 20 of its games have gone over the total, while 15 have gone under and just five have pushed. The team is 5-15 SU at home this season.

The Red Wings have converted on just 16.1 percent of their power play opportunities this season, a mark that places them in the bottom 10 overall among NHL teams. On the other hand, its penalty kill is ranked 30th overall, and it’s successfully killed off 72.5 percent of all penalties.

Jonathan Bernier has stopped 25.8 shots per game as the top option in goal for the Red Wings. Bernier has seven wins, 17 losses, and two overtime losses to his name and has maintained a pedestrian 3.19 goals against average and a subpar .900 save percentage this year.

San Jose Sharks at Detroit Red Wings Betting Predictions

NHL Pick: SU Winner – Red Wings, O/U – Over

Notes

Betting Notes

Seven of Detroit’s last ten contests have been decided by two or more goals, and the team is 1-6 overall in those games.

Power-play chances may be even more key than usual in the outcome of this matchup. The Sharks are 4-7 when they serve fewer penalty minutes than their opponent and 12-14 in games where they’re in the box for fewer than 10 total penalty minutes. The Red Wings are 5-10 when they serve fewer penalty minutes than the opposition and 7-21 when they’re in the box for less than 10 minutes.

For both of these teams, the total has gone over in three of their last five games.

San Jose skaters have averaged 6.6 giveaways over its last five home games, an improvement from its season average of 9.5 giveaways per game (ranked 12th).

Detroit is ranked 27th this season with 12.4 giveaways per game. That figure has trended higher lately, as the team’s averaged 13.2 giveaways over its last 10 games and 13.8 giveaways over its last five.

San Jose skaters have accounted for the league’s 10th-most hits per game (22.6).

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