San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves Free Pick 09/22/19

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The San Francisco Giants will do battle against the Atlanta Braves. The game gets underway 1:20 p.m. ET and NBC Sports – Bay Area will be televising this NL matchup.

San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves Odds

Vegas has listed Atlanta (-210) as the favorite over San Francisco (+190). If you think this game’s total will go under 9.5 runs scored, then bookmakers are offering -120 odds. Picking the over will return even money (+100). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds sitting at -115 for the Giants +1.5 runs and -105 for the Braves -1.5.

The Giants are 74-81 SU and have gone 77-77 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 8.9 units for moneyline bettors, despite having lost 17.8 units ATS. The Braves, on the other hand, are 96-60 SU and 77-78 ATS. The team has gained 21.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 0.2 units ATS.

Atlanta games have had an over/under record of 74-73-8 in 2019. San Francisco has an over/under record of 74-71-9.

Logan Webb is getting the start for the visiting Giants. The right-handed Webb (1-2, 6.51 ERA) has racked up 25 strikeouts in 27.2 innings so far. He has yet to face the Braves this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Braves are putting the ball in the left hand of Dallas Keuchel (8-6, 3.63 ERA), who has 83 strikeouts and 33 walks as well as a 1.33 WHIP. Keuchel only made one start against the Giants in 2018 (0-0, 1.50 ERA and five strikeouts across six innings).

San Francisco’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 4.77 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 7.93 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.87, along with a K-per-9 of 8.69.

Giants hitters have slashed .240/.305/.394 on their way to 4.2 runs scored per game this season, including 3.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

San Francisco’s hitters have been led by Kevin Pillar and Brandon Belt. Pillar is slashing .266/.294/.449 with 21 home runs, 84 RBIs, 79 runs and 13 stolen bases, while Belt (.236/.339/.409) has produced 17 homers, 57 RBIs and 75 runs scored.

For the home team, Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.12, a WHIP of 1.33 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.2. The bullpen has a 4.28 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 9.2 K/9.

Atlanta’s hitters are putting up 5.3 runs per outing, including 4.7 per game over its last 10 games and 4.8 per game over their last five. The team has hit .218/.318/.410 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Braves’ offense has been led by second baseman Ozzie Albies and left fielder Ronald Acuna Jr.. Albies is slashing .294/.351/.500 with 23 home runs, 82 RBIs, 98 runs and 15 steals, and Acuna Jr.’s line is .280/.366/.518 with 41 homers, 101 RBIs, 127 runs and 37 steals.

The Giants have lost 1.6 units and are 19-25 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in 21 of those games, compared to 22 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 16.3 units and are 60-61 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 57 of those games, compared to 59 that went under the total.

San Francisco Giants at Atlanta Braves Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Trends

The over has cashed in only two of Atlanta’s last seven games.

Atlanta has recorded 20.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 18.4 over its last five.

The Giants have hit five home runs in their last 10 games, including three over their last five.

The Giants have a total OPS of .699 this season, including an OPS of .706 against left-handed pitchers. The Braves’ OPS stands at .793 overall and .789 against lefties.

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