San Francisco Giants at Atlanta Braves Free Pick 09/21/19

0

Kevin Pillar and the San Francisco Giants will be taking on the Atlanta Braves at SunTrust Park. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:20 p.m. ET and NBC Sports – Bay Area is in line to televise this NL matchup.

San Francisco Giants at Atlanta Braves Odds

The Braves are 95-60 straight up (SU) and 76-78 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 20.9 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 1.2 units ATS. Atlanta has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Giants are 74-80 SU and have gone 77-76 ATS. They’re up 9.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline, but have lost 16.6 units ATS. San Francisco is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

Braves games have an over/under record of 74-72-8 in 2019. The Giants have an over/under record of 74-70-9.

Johnny Cueto will get the nod for San Francisco. The right-handed Cueto is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and six strikeouts. He has yet to face the Braves this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Braves are handing the ball to lefty Max Fried (16-6, 4.25 ERA), who has 166 strikeouts and 46 walks as well as a 1.37 WHIP. Fried is 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 3.00 ERA in one start against San Francisco this year.

Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. Its starters have a 4.15 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.30 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 9.2 K/9.

The Atlanta hitters have put up 5.3 runs per outing, including 4.4 per game over its last 10 games and 3.2 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .209/.286/.354 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Second baseman Ozzie Albies and left fielder Ronald Acuna Jr. have led the Braves’ batters this year. Albies is hitting .294/.351/.500 with 23 home runs, 82 RBIs, 98 runs and 15 stolen bases, while Acuna Jr.’s line sits at .281/.366/.521 with 41 homers, 101 RBIs, 126 runs and 37 steals.

In the other dugout, San Francisco’s pitching staff allowed 4.8 runs per game and its starters own a 4.75 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 7.92 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.83, along with a WHIP of 1.34 and a K/9 of 8.67.

The Giants offense has slashed .240/.305/.395 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2019, including 3.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Kevin Pillar and Brandon Belt continue to lead San Francisco’s hitters. Pillar is slashing .266/.295/.450 with 21 home runs, 84 RBIs and 78 runs scored, while Belt is slashing .236/.339/.409 with 17 homers, 57 RBIs and 75 runs scored.

The Giants have lost 1.6 units and are 19-25 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in 21 of those games, compared to 22 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 15.3 units and are 59-61 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 57 of those games, compared to 58 that went under the total.

San Francisco Giants at Atlanta Braves Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Trends

San Francisco has recorded 13 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Atlanta has 10 XBH over its last five.

The Giants have a team OPS of .700 this season, including an OPS of .710 against left-handed pitchers. The Braves’ OPS sits at .794 overall and .789 against lefties.

San Francisco has recorded 20.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 23.2 over its last five.

The Giants have hit six home runs in their last 10 games, including four over their last five.