Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Dons versus the Bulldogs? Tip off is at at 11:30 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN2. The game will be played at Orleans Arena in Las Vegas, NV. This West Coast conference matchup has an over/under of 148.5 points, and Gonzaga is favored to win by -9 at home vs. San Francisco.


The Pick: San Francisco Dons +9

This game will be played at Orleans Arena at 11:30 ET on Monday, March 11th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-70 in favor of the Bulldogs.
  • Even though we have Gonzaga winning straight-up, we like San Francisco at +9.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 148.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 146 points.

Can the Dons Offense Score Enough in Las Vegas?

San Francisco is 23-9 this season and 12-5 in West Coast Conference action. On the road, the Dons have gone 6-6, compared to 16-3 at home. They are currently on a two-game losing streak away from home.

Over their last 10 road games, the Dons have gone 6-4, and they are 3-2 over their last five games.

San Francisco has an ATS record of 18-13 this season and they are 7-5 vs. the spread on the road. As the underdog, the Dons are 4-3 vs. the spread this year. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, San Francisco has gone 6-4 vs. the spread.

San Francisco’s over/under record this season is 15-15-1, and the average scoring total in their games is 142.2 points. Today’s over/under line of 148.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games (142.4). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 135 points, and their OU record during that span is 0-2-1. So far, 21 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s OU line.

In their latest game, San Francisco offense put up 72 points against Portland. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 52.8% and made 11 threes. In terms of offense, the Dons have a season-long field goal percentage of 49%, putting them 43rd in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 187th in percentage and 79th in three-pointers made.

This season, the San Francisco defense has been impressive, holding the 27th position in the country while permitting an average of 65.7 points per contest. San Francisco’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Portland offense to knock down 52% of their shots on their way to putting up 51 points.

Will Gonzaga Make it Happen at Home?

With a record of 24-6, Gonzaga has been one of the best teams in the country this season. They have won eight straight games and have a record of 14-2 in West Coast Conference play. At home, the Bulldogs are 14-4 this year, and they have won four straight games at home.

Over their last 10 games at home, Gonzaga has gone 8-2. In their most recent game, they beat Saint Mary’s by a score of 70-57. On the season, they have been favored in 25 of their 30 games, going 21-4 in those games.

As the favorite, Gonzaga has gone 12-13 against the spread this season. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Bulldogs have an ATS record of 4-6. At home, Gonzaga is 8-10 vs. the spread this year and they have gone 5-5 ATS in their last 10 games at home.

So far this season, the over/under record for Gonzaga games is 13-15-1. Today’s over/under line of 148.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (154.1). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 151 points.

Coming off their recent game, the Gonzaga offense tallied 70 points in a matchup against Saint Mary’s. Their field goal percentage for the game was 51.7%, and they made 5 threes. Offensively, the Bulldogs have a season long field goal percentage of 51%, which is 15th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 146th in percentage and 238th in three-pointers made.

So far, the Bulldogs’ defense is ranked 86th in the country at 68.7 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Gonzaga’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 41.2% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 32.7% this season.